Match Info

Cymru North - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Gresford Athletic		Holyhead Hotspur

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.45	2.62
	2.28	3.52	2.76
	2.27	3.63	2.83	Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.75
	2.26	3.44	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.52)	3.45 ↓ (3.89)	2.73 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gresford Athletic
40.3%

Draw
26.4%

Holyhead Hotspur
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

23.2%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

22.6%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gresford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Holyhead Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Holyhead Hotspur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gresford Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holyhead Hotspur than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holyhead Hotspur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gresford Athletic - Holyhead Hotspur Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gresford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Ozlu H. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
79', Roberts J. 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gresford won 2.

Recent performances by Gresford have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Holyhead is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gresford won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gresford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Holyhead	9	2	1	6	11:18	-7	7
15	Gresford	9	2	1	6	6:21	-15	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gresford Athletic
Welsh Cymru North
20.02.26	Gresford Athletic - Flint Mountain	3:0 ✺
13.02.26	Llandudno - Gresford Athletic	7:1 ✺
30.01.26	Gresford Athletic - Holywell Town	3:2 ✺
23.01.26	Airbus UK Broughton - Gresford Athletic	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Gresford Athletic - Penrhyncoch	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WLWLW
- Holyhead Hotspur
Welsh Cymru North
21.02.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Brickfield Rangers	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Llandudno	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Caersws - Holyhead Hotspur	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Airbus UK Broughton	0:2 ✺
01.01.26	Holywell Town - Holyhead Hotspur	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
15.11.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Gresford Athletic	3:0
11.02.23	Holyhead Hotspur - Gresford Athletic	0:2
04.02.23	Gresford Athletic - Holyhead Hotspur	1:3
29.01.22	Gresford Athletic - Holyhead Hotspur	0:0
Welsh Cymru Alliance
29.12.18	Gresford Athletic - Holyhead Hotspur	5:1

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