Match Info

Cymru North - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday


	Mold Alexandra		Guilsfield

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.75	2.2
	2.6	3.94	2.24
	2.63	3.81	2.31	Watch
	2.54	3.8	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.3)	3.83 ↓ (3.9)	2.24 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mold Alexandra
35.4%

Draw
23.8%

Guilsfield
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

23.3%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

22.7%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mold Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Guilsfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mold Alexandra than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mold Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guilsfield than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Mold Alexandra - Guilsfield Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mold Alexandra won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mold Alexandra won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mold Alexandra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Guilsfield - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.13%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mold Alexandra
Welsh Cymru North
22.08.25	Denbigh Town - Mold Alexandra	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Mold Alexandra - Holyhead Hotspur	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Caersws - Mold Alexandra	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Mold Alexandra - Penrhyncoch	2:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
18.07.25	Guilsfield - Mold Alexandra	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTWTL
- Guilsfield FC
Welsh Cymru North
22.08.25	Buckley Town - Guilsfield	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Holywell Town - Guilsfield	4:1 ✺
09.08.25	Guilsfield - Rhyl	2:3 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Guilsfield - Bala Town	2:3 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru North
26.07.25	Gresford Athletic - Guilsfield	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
18.07.25	Guilsfield - Mold Alexandra	3:0
Welsh Cymru North
30.11.24	Mold Alexandra - Guilsfield	0:1
28.09.24	Guilsfield - Mold Alexandra	1:2
10.02.24	Guilsfield - Mold Alexandra	0:3
23.09.23	Mold Alexandra - Guilsfield	3:0
15.04.23	Mold Alexandra - Guilsfield	0:1
30.07.22	Guilsfield - Mold Alexandra	4:0

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