Match Info

Cymru North - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Holywell Town		Penrhyncoch

	1	X	2
	1.14	6.3	12.5
	1.16	5.58	16.29
	1.23	6.40	9.39	Watch
	1.13	6.15	16
	1.1	7	20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↑ (1.1)	6.29 ↓ (7)	14.84 ↓ (20)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holywell Town
79.3%

Draw
14.5%

Penrhyncoch
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.5%

13%

4.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holywell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Penrhyncoch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Holywell Town - Penrhyncoch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Breese J. ⚽,
42', Jenkins R. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Breese J. ⚽,
59', 2 - 1, Evans O. (Pen),
66', 3 - 1, Lindfield C. ⚽,
80', 4 - 1, Breese J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holywell Town won 5.

Holywell Town has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Penrhyncoch is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Holywell Town is the clear favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Holywell Town won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:2. (average 3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Holywell Town won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru North
03.10.25	Airbus UK Broughton - Holywell Town	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Holywell Town - Rhyl	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Holywell Town - Gresford Athletic	8:4 ✺
Welsh League Cup
10.09.25	Caernarfon Town - Holywell Town	3:2 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru North
06.09.25	Caersws - Holywell Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWLW
- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
27.09.25	Llandudno - Penrhyncoch	3:0 ✺
12.09.25	Penrhyncoch - Guilsfield	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Penrhyncoch	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Penrhyncoch - Denbigh Town	1:1 ✺
20.08.25	Ruthin Town - Penrhyncoch	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
30.11.24	Holywell Town - Penrhyncoch	2:1
14.09.24	Penrhyncoch - Holywell Town	0:1
18.03.23	Penrhyncoch - Holywell Town	0:5
01.10.22	Holywell Town - Penrhyncoch	2:0
23.04.22	Penrhyncoch - Holywell Town	1:3
20.11.21	Holywell Town - Penrhyncoch	5:0

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