Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Neo GSP Stadium (Nicosia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Cyprus	22:00	RIK 1
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 9
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 7
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Sport 4
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 10
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
International	20:00	Disney+


	APOEL		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	6	3.7	1.62
	5	3.7	1.6
	5	3.75	1.65
	5.87	3.84	1.63
	5.15	3.88	1.63	Watch
	4.4	3.7	1.65
	5.44	4.05	1.65
	5	3.75	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.23 ↑ (4.2)	3.8 ↑ (3.6)	1.64 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APOEL
17.9%

Draw
24.7%

Fiorentina
57.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.9%

25.5%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

25.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APOEL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
1.6%	4.8%	93.7%

APOEL - Fiorentina Predictions

Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (59 of 63 users predict this - 93.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.63% – 99.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Belec V. (C) 29. Chebake I. 3. Petrovic R. 34. Laifis K. 16. Susic M. 70. Kostadinov G. 11. Donis A. 17. Abagna D. 8. Tejera S. 19. Quintilla X. 9. El Arabi Y.	1. Terracciano P. (G) 33. Kayode M. 22. Moreno M. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 3. Biraghi C. (C) 8. Mandragora R. 29. Adli Y. 24. Richardson A. 11. Ikone J. 99. Kouame C. 65. Parisi F.
Substitutes
12. Bah A. 22. Christodoulou A. (G) 30. Corbu M. 5. Dvali L. 10. Marquinhos 7. Meyer M. 78. Michos S. (G) 77. Ndongala D. 35. Polykarpou P. 18. Satsias G.	9. Beltran L. 4. Bove E. 23. Colpani A. 15. Comuzzo P. 43. de Gea D. (G) 2. Dodo 21. Gosens R. 30. Martinelli T. (G) 5. Pongracic M. 6. Ranieri L. 66. Rubino T. 7. Sottil R.
Coaches
Jimenez M.	Palladino R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', Tejera S. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Donis A. ⚽, El Arabi Y. (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, Abagna D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Adli Y. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
49', Moreno M. 🟨,
57', Biraghi C. ↓, Ranieri L. ↑,
57', Moreno M. ↓, Dodo ↑,
65', Richardson A. ↓, Bove E. ↑,
67', Tejera S. ↓, Satsias G. ↑,
69', Parisi F. ↓, Gosens R. ↑,
72', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, Ikone J. ⚽, Kouame C. (A),
79', Donis A. 🟨,
79', Donis A. ↓, Dvali L. ↑,
88', Petrovic R. ↓, Polykarpou P. ↑,
89', El Arabi Y. ↓, Bah A. ↑,
89', Chebake I. 🟨,
90+6', Laifis K. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches APOEL is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fiorentina in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

APOEL could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Fiorentina have a series of guest games.

In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.

There will not play in APOEL: Sarfo K. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Fiorentina: Gudmundsson A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Kean M. (Ankle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APOEL
Cypriot First Division
02.11.24	Apollon Limassol - APOEL	0:0 ✺
28.10.24	APOEL - Anorthosis	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.10.24	APOEL - Borac Banja Luka	0:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
19.10.24	Omonia Aradippou - APOEL	0:5 ✺
06.10.24	APOEL - AEK Larnaca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWLWL
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
03.11.24	Torino - Fiorentina	0:1 ✺
31.10.24	Genoa - Fiorentina	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Fiorentina - Roma	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.10.24	St. Gallen - Fiorentina	2:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.10.24	Lecce - Fiorentina	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWW

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