Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Aker Stadion (Molde)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+


	Molde		Cercle Brugge

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.8	4.4
	1.75	3.75	4.5
	1.73	3.93	4.57
	1.72	4.05	4.5	Watch
	1.65	3.9	4
	1.74	4.15	4.24	Watch
	1.75	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.46)	3.89 ↑ (3.61)	4.4 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molde
54.5%

Draw
24.2%

Cercle Brugge
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

26.3%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Molde's performance.

Cercle Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cercle Brugge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molde than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Molde that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cercle Brugge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.2%	9.6%	8.2%

Molde - Cercle Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Molde will win (votes: 58 - 82.9%). Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 5 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molde: 74.1% – 91.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Posiadala A. (G) 3. Oyvann C. 25. Hagelskjaer A. 4. Lund V. 21. Linnes M. 15. Kaasa M. 17. Daehli M. 16. Breivik E. 31. Lovik M. 7. Eikrem M. (C) 20. Eriksen K.	1. Warleson (G) 3. Utkus E. 5. Popovic B. 4. Daland J. 20. Nazinho 6. Agyekum L. 17. Francis A. 99. Ouattara A. K. 34. Somers T. (C) 10. Felipe Augusto 9. Denkey K.
Substitutes
26. Amundsen I. 2. Bjornbak M. 23. Granaas S. 19. Haugan E. 5. Hestad E. 9. Ihler F. 34. McDermott S. (G) 29. Nyheim G. 11. Olanare A. 12. Petersen O. (G) 6. Roaldsoy A. 18. Stenevik H.	30. Bruninho 95. De Bel T. (G) 21. Delanghe M. (G) 68. El Bahri R. 8. Erick 76. Lietaert J. 18. Miangue S. 11. Minda A. 19. Olaigbe K. 66. Ravych C. 28. van der Bruggen H.
Coaches
Moe E.	Muslic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Eriksen K. ⚽, Kaasa M. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Eikrem M. ⚽, Daehli M. (A),
30', 3 - 0, Linnes M. ⚽, Eriksen K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Popovic B. ↓, Ravych C. ↑,
46', Felipe Augusto ↓, Olaigbe K. ↑,
55', Breivik E. 🟨,
61', Nazinho 🟨,
63', Ouattara A. K. ↓, Minda A. ↑,
63', Agyekum L. ↓, van der Bruggen H. ↑,
76', Daland J. 🟨,
77', Eikrem M. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
77', Linnes M. ↓, Stenevik H. ↑,
79', Lund V. 🟨,
80', Daland J. ↓, Bruninho ↑,
86', Breivik E. (Pen),
86', Lund V. ↓, Haugan E. ↑,
86', Kaasa M. ↓, Hestad E. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Molde is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cercle Brugge is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Molde could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Molde will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molde FK
UEFA Europa League
01.08.24	Silkeborg IF - Molde	3:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.07.24	Viking Stavanger - Molde	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.07.24	Molde - Silkeborg IF	3:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.07.24	Molde - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:3 ✺
13.07.24	Fredrikstad - Molde	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLT
- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.08.24	Cercle Brugge - Kortrijk	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.08.24	Cercle Brugge - Kilmarnock	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.07.24	Westerlo - Cercle Brugge	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.07.24	Kilmarnock - Cercle Brugge	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Monaco - Cercle Brugge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLTT

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