Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 21

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Het Kuipje (Westerlo)

Referee: Put B. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza


	Westerlo		Cercle Brugge

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.92
	2.27	3.64	2.95	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.63
	2.47	3.69	2.81	Watch
	2.28	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.07)	3.51 ↓ (3.62)	2.84 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Westerlo
40.1%

Draw
26.8%

Cercle Brugge
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

25.6%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

25.8%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	26.3%	31.6%

Westerlo - Cercle Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Westerlo will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Westerlo: 19.9% – 64.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Westerlo (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Cercle Brugge (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Westerlo (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cercle Brugge (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Jungdal A. (G) 22. Reynolds B. 40. Bayram E. 4. Lapage A. 23. Mbamba-Muanda L. 34. Haspolat D. (C) 46. Piedfort A. 7. Sayyadmanesh A. 13. Sakamoto I. 77. Alcocer J. 90. Nacho	1. Warleson (G) 15. Magnee G. 3. Utkus E. 66. Ravych C. 20. Nazinho 28. van der Bruggen H. (C) 37. Diop E. 18. Gerkens P. 6. Agyekum L. 17. Adewumi O. 9. Ngoura S.
Substitutes
11. Bohamdi-Kamoni N. 29. Goure F. 33. Neustadter R. 38. Saito S. 17. Smekens R. 8. Sydorchuk S. 14. Vaesen K. 39. Van den Keybus T. 30. Van Langendonck K. (G)	21. Delanghe M. (G) 27. De Wilde N. 2. Diakite I. 10. Diakite O. 8. Erick Nunes 23. Jurado H. 5. Kakou E. 41. Kouassi K. 13. Vanzeir D.
Coaches
Charai I.	Cinel O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Bayram E. (Own goal),
23', Magnee G. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Adewumi O. ⚽, Magnee G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mbamba-Muanda L. ↓, Smekens R. ↑,
46', van der Bruggen H. ↓, Diakite I. ↑,
64', Alcocer J. ↓, Bohamdi-Kamoni N. ↑,
70', Nazinho 🟨,
73', Diakite I. 🟨,
74', Adewumi O. ↓, Vanzeir D. ↑,
74', Sakamoto I. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
74', Sayyadmanesh A. ↓, Saito S. ↑,
78', Warleson 🟨,
82', Diop E. ↓, Erick Nunes ↑,
85', Nacho ↓, Goure F. ↑,
90+1', Ngoura S. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 2.

Westerlo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cercle Brugge has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Westerlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cercle Brugge has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Westerlo: Haidara B. (Inactive) Kimura S. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Diaby I. (Red Card) Ouattara A. K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Westerlo: Alcocer J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cercle Brugge: Gerkens P. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 35:31. (average 1.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Westerlo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 2.7:1.6).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Westerlo: 0.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15:16	-1	10
17	Cercle Brugge KSV	7	0	3	4	8:14	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KVC Westerlo
Club Friendly
09.01.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Westerlo	1:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.25	Gent - Westerlo	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Westerlo - RAAL La Louvière	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Genk - Westerlo	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Westerlo - Anderlecht	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TLWTW
- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.12.25	Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Cercle Brugge	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Cercle Brugge - KV Mechelen	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	Cercle Brugge - Standard Liège	1:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
03.12.25	Cercle Brugge - Gent	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.08.25	Cercle Brugge - Westerlo	4:1
16.02.25	Cercle Brugge - Westerlo	1:1
28.07.24	Westerlo - Cercle Brugge	3:0
30.01.24	Westerlo - Cercle Brugge	4:2
02.09.23	Cercle Brugge - Westerlo	2:1
03.06.23	Cercle Brugge - Westerlo	2:0
07.05.23	Westerlo - Cercle Brugge	3:5

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