Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Aker Stadion (Molde)

Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+


	Molde		Silkeborg IF

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.61	4	5.25
	1.65	4	4.75	Watch
	1.67	3.76	5.05
	1.68	3.9	4.67	Watch
	1.53	4	4.75
	1.63	4.2	4.98	Watch
	1.65	4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.59)	3.97 ↓ (4.03)	4.89 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molde
57.3%

Draw
23.6%

Silkeborg IF
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

22.8%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

22.3%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Silkeborg IF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Silkeborg IF than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.2%	10.8%	0%

Molde - Silkeborg IF Predictions

Users Predictions: Molde will win (31 of 34 users predict this - 91.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.65% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karlstrom J. (G) 3. Oyvann C. 25. Hagelskjaer A. 4. Lund V. 21. Linnes M. 15. Kaasa M. 17. Daehli M. 16. Breivik E. 31. Lovik M. 7. Eikrem M. (C) 20. Eriksen K.	1. Larsen N. (C) 5. Sonne O. 25. Rodin P. 4. Ganchas P. 2. Poulsen A. 6. Mattsson P. 14. Brink M. 20. Larsen M. 23. Adamsen T. 7. Orazov R. 9. Lind A.
Substitutes
26. Amundsen I. 2. Bjornbak M. 19. Haugan E. 28. Haugen K. 5. Hestad E. 29. Nyheim G. 11. Olanare A. 12. Petersen O. (G) 6. Roaldsoy A. 18. Stenevik H.	8. Andersen J. 30. Andresen A. (G) 41. Boesen O. 33. Freundlich M. 19. Gammelby J. 16. Larsen J. (G) 36. Nielsen J. 3. Ostrom R. 22. Pyndt A.
Coaches
Moe E.	Nielsen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Kaasa M. ⚽, Eikrem M. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Lind A. ⚽, Brink M. (A),
45+1', 2 - 1, Eikrem M. ⚽, Eriksen K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 3 - 1, Eriksen K. ⚽, Lovik M. (A),
50', Adamsen T. 🟨,
68', Poulsen A. ↓, Ostrom R. ↑,
68', Orazov R. ↓, Andersen J. ↑,
69', Eikrem M. ↓, Hestad E. ↑,
69', Linnes M. ↓, Stenevik H. ↑,
73', Lind A. 🟨,
78', Kaasa M. ↓, Nyheim G. ↑,
88', Eriksen K. ↓, Olanare A. ↑,
89', Sonne O. 🟨,
90', Hagelskjaer A. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Molde is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Silkeborg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Molde could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Molde is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molde FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.07.24	Molde - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:3 ✺
13.07.24	Fredrikstad - Molde	0:0 ✺
07.07.24	Molde - Lillestrøm SK	3:0 ✺
28.06.24	Tromsø - Molde	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
21.06.24	Molde - Odd	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWWW
- Silkeborg IF
Danish Superliga
21.07.24	Silkeborg IF - SønderjyskE	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.24	Zwolle - Silkeborg IF	1:3 ✺
06.07.24	Utrecht - Silkeborg IF	2:2 ✺
30.06.24	Silkeborg IF - Haugesund	2:2 ✺
27.06.24	Copenhagen - Silkeborg IF	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTTL

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