Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 2 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Aker Stadion (Molde)

Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)


	Molde		HJK

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	12	Watch
	1.25	6.25	11.5
	1.25	5.75	11.5
	1.25	5.5	11
	1.26	5.92	12.37
	1.18	5.5	10
	1.24	5.9	12.25
	1.26	6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.38)	5.85 ↑ (4.7)	11.58 ↑ (7.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molde
75.8%

Draw
16.1%

HJK
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

20%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

19.4%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Molde's performance.

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molde than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Molde that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	4%	12%

Molde - HJK Predictions

Users Predictions: Molde will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karlstrom J. (G) 19. Haugan E. 2. Bjornbak M. 25. Hagelskjaer A. 28. Haugen K. 15. Kaasa M. 8. Mannsverk S. 16. Breivik E. 21. Linnes M. 7. Eikrem M. (C) 11. Brynhildsen O.	1. Ost J. (G) 4. Toivio J. 15. Tenho M. (C) 22. Raitala J. 23. Soiri P. 24. Kanellopoulos G. 10. Lingman L. 37. Tanaka A. 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 9. Radulovic B. 18. Keskinen T.
Substitutes
23. Andersen E. 9. Berisha V. 6. Ellingsen M. 20. Eriksen K. 22. Grodem M. 32. Ibrahim H. 10. Kitolano E. 14. Knudtzon E. 31. Lovik M. 33. Odegard N. 12. Petersen O. (G) 4. Tiedemann B.	6. Halme A. 3. Hamalainen N. 56. Hetemaj P. 7. Hostikka S. 2. Ollila T. 29. Olusanya A. 78. Ramula A. (G) 11. Riski Ro. 8. Rogic F.
Coaches
Moe E.	Korkeakunnas T.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Molde is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

HJK in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

HJK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Molde is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Molde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Molde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molde FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
29.07.23	Stabæk - Molde	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.07.23	HJK - Molde	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.07.23	Molde - Sarpsborg 08	5:1 ✺
15.07.23	Vålerenga - Molde	0:4 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
12.07.23	Molde - Sarpsborg 08	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW
- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
29.07.23	SJK - HJK	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.07.23	HJK - Molde	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.07.23	HJK - Ilves	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.07.23	Larne - HJK	2:2 ET ✺
12.07.23	HJK - Larne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
25.07.23	HJK - Molde	1:0
Club Friendly
11.03.15	Molde - HJK	1:0

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