Match Info

Toppserien Women - Round 18

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Aker Stadion (Molde)

Referee: Fjeldvaer V. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay


	Molde		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.60	2.00
	2.9	3.6	2.1
	3.13	3.83	2.09
	3.02	3.78	2.04	Watch
	3.05	3.75	1.99
	3.01	3.74	2.13
	2.8	3.55	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.6)	3.69 ↑ (3.5)	2.06 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molde
30.8%

Draw
24.8%

Stabæk
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

25.5%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

25.4%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Molde - Stabæk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caldwell K. (G) 17. Bjastad H. 4. Ose T. (C) 24. Bersas M. 5. Vapola H. 18. Zlotnicka E. 41. Gamst S. 10. Warvik I. 19. Tuominen S. 16. Lee Eun-Young 9. Jeon Yu-Gyeong	13. Ronning E. (G) 16. Vistnes K. 4. Flo M. 2. Bolviken E. (C) 21. Pallesen-Nygard S. 6. Halvorsen C. 28. Grindhaug A. 7. Berg-Solemdal M. 9. Ron G. 18. Malmin A. 23. Gumaer K.
Substitutes
3. Ingadottir S. 7. Mahle S. 12. Myklebust E. (G) 6. Nygard H. 23. Outzen A. 38. Vestavik K.	3. de Lange H. 17. Hoem M. 19. Klaeboe-Solemdal S. 1. Leonards M. (G) 77. Tapaeva E. 24. Thorleifsson R.
Coaches
Rudning K.	Torjussen L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', Pallesen-Nygard S. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Halvorsen C. ⚽, Berg-Solemdal M. (A),
39', 0 - 2, Ron G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 3, Bjastad H. (Own goal),
54', Bersas M. ↓, Ingadottir S. ↑,
63', Bjastad H. 🟨,
64', Warvik I. ↓, Mahle S. ↑,
65', Tuominen S. ↓, Nygard H. ↑,
68', Pallesen-Nygard S. ↓, de Lange H. ↑,
75', Malmin A. ↓, Klaeboe-Solemdal S. ↑,
75', Halvorsen C. ↓, Thorleifsson R. ↑,
77', Grindhaug A. 🟨,
87', Ron G. ↓, Hoem M. ↑,
87', Grindhaug A. ↓, Tapaeva E. ↑,
90', Bjastad H. ↓, Vestavik K. ↑,
90', Zlotnicka E. ↓, Outzen A. ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th and 5th).

Molde is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Stabæk have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Stabæk could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Stabæk is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Molde has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Stabaek W	18	8	3	7	36:20	16	27
7	Molde W	18	5	3	10	23:36	-13	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molde FK Women
Norwegian Toppserien Women
26.09.26	Molde - Vålerenga	0:4 ✺
20.09.26	Fortuna Ålesund - Molde	4:1 ✺
13.09.26	Molde - Hønefoss	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Molde - LSK Kvinner	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Røa - Molde	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWT
- Stabæk Fotball Kvinner
Norwegian Toppserien Women
26.09.26	Stabæk - Brann	0:1 ✺
17.09.26	Rosenborg - Stabæk	4:2 ✺
13.09.26	Stabæk - LSK Kvinner	5:1 ✺
22.08.26	Stabæk - Bodø Glimt	7:1 ✺
15.08.26	Haugesund - Stabæk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Toppserien Women
13.06.26	Stabæk - Molde	2:1

Molde - Stabæk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide