Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 14

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Aker Stadion (Molde)

Referee: Sinnes S. T. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 3
Norway	TV2 Play
Serbia	Arena Sport 7, SportKlub 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
World	Onefootball


	Molde		Strømsgodset

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.25	6.5	Watch
	1.39	5	6.75
	1.38	5.3	6.7	Watch
	1.43	5.2	7.2
	1.38	5.27	7.14	Watch
	1.4	4.8	7
	1.37	5.53	7.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.49)	5.19 ↑ (4.64)	6.95 ↑ (6.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molde
68.2%

Draw
18.2%

Strømsgodset
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

20.5%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

17.3%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Strømsgodset has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molde than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Molde that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	14.3%	21.4%

Molde - Strømsgodset Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Molde will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Strømsgodset will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molde: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Strømsgodset (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Strømsgodset (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karlstrom J. (G) 21. Linnes M. (C) 19. Haugan E. 33. Risa B. 26. Kabini S. 16. Breivik E. 17. Daehli M. 15. Kaasa M. 5. Hestad E. 8. Gulbrandsen F. 11. Zady C.	1. Bratveit P. (G) 5. Sormo B. 25. Taaje J. 71. Valsvik G. (C) 27. Dahl F. 17. Bakke J. 10. Stengel H. 16. Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. 21. Farji M. 20. Conteh A. 80. Wikheim G.
Substitutes
9. Abdullai J. 6. Amundsen I. 14. Berisha V. 7. Eikrem M. 10. Enggaard M. 23. Granaas S. 34. McDermott S. (G) 3. Oyvann C. 18. Stenevik H.	99. Ampofo J. 15. Heredia-Randen A. 24. Johansen E. (G) 8. Krasniqi K. 6. Marcello Silalahi S. A. 77. Mehnert M. 26. Vilsvik L. 4. Westerlund S.
Coaches
Hogmo P.	Fagermo D

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Zady C. ⚽, Hestad E. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Gulbrandsen F. ⚽, Linnes M. (A),
37', 2 - 1, Wikheim G. ⚽, Dahl F. (A),
41', 3 - 1, Kaasa M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sormo B. ↓, Vilsvik L. ↑,
51', 4 - 1, Kaasa M. ⚽, Linnes M. (A),
63', Bakke J. ↓, Heredia-Randen A. ↑,
63', Conteh A. ↓, Ampofo J. ↑,
63', Wikheim G. ↓, Marcello Silalahi S. A. ↑,
72', Daehli M. ↓, Eikrem M. ↑,
72', Hestad E. ↓, Granaas S. ↑,
72', Kaasa M. ↓, Enggaard M. ↑,
72', Linnes M. ↓, Stenevik H. ↑,
82', Gulbrandsen F. ↓, Abdullai J. ↑,
86', 🟨,
86', Kabini S. 🟨,
89', Breivik E. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molde won 3.

Molde is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Strømsgodset is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Molde is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Molde: Eriksen K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Strømsgodset: Andersen E. (Knee Injury) Ekeland J. (Knock) Melkersen E. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Molde won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 48:16. (average 2.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Molde won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 31:5. (average 2.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molde FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
12.07.25	Fredrikstad - Molde	4:2 ✺
05.07.25	Tromsø - Molde	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Molde - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:3 ✺
22.06.25	Vålerenga - Molde	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.06.25	Molde - Värnamo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL
- Strømsgodset IF
Norwegian Eliteserien
13.07.25	Strømsgodset - Tromsø	2:3 ✺
05.07.25	Viking Stavanger - Strømsgodset	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Strømsgodset - Vålerenga	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Strømsgodset	5:0 ✺
31.05.25	Strømsgodset - Hamarkameratene	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
01.12.24	Strømsgodset - Molde	1:0
01.04.24	Molde - Strømsgodset	4:0
24.09.23	Strømsgodset - Molde	1:1
Norwegian NM Cup
28.06.23	Molde - Strømsgodset	3:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
13.05.23	Molde - Strømsgodset	3:2
31.07.22	Molde - Strømsgodset	3:0
10.04.22	Strømsgodset - Molde	1:3

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