Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 21

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Aker Stadion (Molde)

Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Norway	TV2 Play
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
World	Onefootball


	Molde		Fredrikstad

	1	X	2
	1.8	4	3.8	Watch
	1.72	3.75	4.4
	1.82	3.7	4.25
	1.77	3.97	4.84
	3.95	3.42	1.93	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.4
	1.77	3.88	4.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.75)	3.78 ↓ (3.9)	4.01 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molde
48.4%

Draw
26.6%

Fredrikstad
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

23.9%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Molde's form might have worsened.

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Molde, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Molde - Fredrikstad Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Molde (votes: 3 - 60%). Fredrikstad (votes: 2 - 40%).

Users Predictions: Molde will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karlstrom J. (G) 21. Linnes M. 19. Haugan E. 33. Risa B. 26. Kabini S. 16. Breivik E. 14. Christensen J. 7. Eikrem M. (C) 25. Spiten-Nysaeter O. 9. Abdullai J. 11. Zady C.	77. Borsheim M. (G) 28. Owusu S. 12. Fredriksen U. 22. Woledzi M. 16. Eid D. 11. Metcalfe P. 6. Owusu L. (C) 4. Molde S. 20. Ohlenschlaeger O. 23. Skogvold H. 13. Sorlokk S.
Substitutes
27. Daga D. 23. Granaas S. 8. Gulbrandsen F. 5. Hestad E. 24. Kasanwirjo N. 34. McDermott S. (G) 29. Nyheim G. 3. Oyvann C. 18. Stenevik H.	18. Begby L. 14. Bjartalid J. 24. Engebakken T. 40. Granaas E. 17. Kvile S. 10. Nunez J. 1. Ovretveit O. (G) 5. Rafn S. 19. Shein R. R.
Coaches
Hogmo P.	Hagen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Molde S. ⚽, Ohlenschlaeger O. (A),
35', Haugan E. 🟨,
45+6', Abdullai J. 🟨,
45+6', Ohlenschlaeger O. (Pen),
45+6', 0 - 2, Ohlenschlaeger O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Abdullai J. ↓, Gulbrandsen F. ↑,
46', Christensen J. ↓, Daga D. ↑,
60', Borsheim M. 🟨,
61', Sorlokk S. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
63', Kabini S. 🟨,
71', Linnes M. ↓, Stenevik H. ↑,
71', Zady C. ↓, Hestad E. ↑,
72', Ohlenschlaeger O. ↓, Bjartalid J. ↑,
82', Skogvold H. ↓, Shein R. R. ↑,
82', Owusu S. ↓, Kvile S. ↑,
85', Eikrem M. ↓, Nyheim G. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Gulbrandsen F. ⚽, Risa B. (A),
90+4', Eid D. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molde won 2.

Molde is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fredrikstad is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Molde is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Molde: Eriksen K. (Groin Injury) Roaldsoy A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Fredrikstad: Birkso V. (Knock) Yrga-Alem F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Molde: Daehli M. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Fredrikstad: Faraas B. (Leg Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Molde won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Molde won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molde FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
31.08.25	Strømsgodset - Molde	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Molde - Tromsø	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Molde	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Molde - Hamarkameratene	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Molde - Bryne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTWW
- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
31.08.25	Fredrikstad - Haugesund	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Fredrikstad - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
21.08.25	Crystal Palace - Fredrikstad	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.08.25	Midtjylland - Fredrikstad	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Fredrikstad - Midtjylland	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
12.07.25	Fredrikstad - Molde	4:2
Norwegian NM Cup
07.12.24	Fredrikstad - Molde	1:0 penalties
Norwegian Eliteserien
14.09.24	Molde - Fredrikstad	6:1
13.07.24	Fredrikstad - Molde	0:0
18.11.12	Fredrikstad - Molde	0:2
16.05.12	Molde - Fredrikstad	2:0

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