Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 8

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Molodechno Haradzki Stadion (Molodechno)

Referee: Naumov E. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5


	Molodechno		Gomel

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.2	1.38
	8.24	4.55	1.39
	7.5	4.2	1.36
	7.4	4.33	1.46	Watch
	5.6	3.75	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.05 ↑ (4.9)	4.21 ↑ (3.8)	1.43 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molodechno
13.1%

Draw
22%

Gomel
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

25.1%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

20.7%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molodechno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Molodechno's form might have worsened.

Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gomel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molodechno than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Molodechno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (-19.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gomel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Molodechno - Gomel Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Gomel (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gomel (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tretyak D. (G) 2. Kutkovich G. 44. Dylevskiy A. 3. Udodov I. 17. Kats A. (C) 23. Monich I. 91. Lesnyak D. 29. Samotoy M. 27. Usenya S. 7. Tseslyukevich P. 10. Vashkevich D.	44. Kleshchuk S. (G) 10. Borodin D. 90. Kukushkin G. 33. Chagovets Y. (C) 15. Shemruk A. 16. Zayats I. 20. Aliu L. 13. Aleksievich I. 7. Fernando Neto 70. Cheburakov K. 17. Yatskevich V.
Substitutes
77. Azatov A. 25. Azerskiy E. 22. Dukso M. 55. Imeryakov E. 14. Koval I. 12. Okhremchuk P. (G) 43. Sadovskiy D. (G) 19. Tychko M. 11. Vlasov A.	25. Ange S. P. E. 8. Barsukov E. 11. Butko A. 14. Davyskiba R. 27. Drozdov M. 2. Martinkevich V. 3. Matveychik S. 1. Nechaev A. (G) 23. Potapenko A. 63. Waddou A.
Coaches
Khatkevich S.	Gorovtsov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Dylevskiy A. 🟨,
24', Dylevskiy A. ↓, Imeryakov E. ↑,
39', Kleshchuk S. ↓, Nechaev A. ↑,
42', 0 - 1, Yatskevich V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Shemruk A. ↓, Martinkevich V. ↑,
55', Usenya S. 🟨,
66', Vashkevich D. 🟨,
66', Monich I. ↓, Vlasov A. ↑,
67', Fernando Neto ↓, Butko A. ↑,
80', Samotoy M. ↓, Dukso M. ↑,
80', Tseslyukevich P. ↓, Azerskiy E. ↑,
82', Borodin D. ↓, Barsukov E. ↑,
82', Cheburakov K. ↓, Potapenko A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 12).

Molodechno has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gomel's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Molodechno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gomel is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Molodechno
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
02.05.25	Molodechno - Naftan	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Isloch Minsk - Molodechno	4:0 ✺
19.04.25	Molodechno - Vitebsk	0:4 ✺
13.04.25	Minsk - Molodechno	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Molodechno - BATE Borisov	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Gomel
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
04.05.25	Gomel - Isloch Minsk	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Vitebsk - Gomel	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Minsk - Gomel	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	BATE Borisov - Gomel	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Gomel - Slavia Mozyr	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLTL

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