The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
BATE Borisov 24.9%
Draw 27.9%
Gomel 47.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
33.4%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
33.5%
35.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BATE Borisov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BATE Borisov's form might have worsened.
Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gomel's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BATE Borisov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gomel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
26.3%
73.7%
BATE Borisov - Gomel Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Gomel will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gomel: 53.8% โ 96.2%.
16. Sokol D. (G) 7. Angban V. 8. Apanasevich K. 29. Charles Y. 55. Kaplenko K. 52. Kress E. 6. Moussakhanian H. 25. Neskoromnyi N. 33. Rakhmanov A. (C) 5. Sakuta M. 30. Yarmolich A.
49. Karatai A. (G) 23. Danilin K. 90. Kukushkin G. 9. Leonovich K. 13. Lisakovich D. 14. Pashevich P. 43. Shaykhtdinov D. 19. Silinskiy D. (C) 11. Simanenka T. 33. Sotnikov V. 16. Zayats I.
Substitutes
88. Dubovskiy P. 13. Khramtsevich Y. 17. Kolosovskiy P. 44. Mardas M. 28. Mikhnyuk I. 9. Mirskiy N. 10. Rusakov E. 35. Skopets A. (G) 14. Telesh M. 42. Zhurin A.
8. Barsukov E. 22. Emeljanov D. 4. Gavrilovich A. 44. Kleshchuk S. (G) 17. Martinkevich V. 3. Matveychik S. 77. Savitskiy A. 30. Troyakov E.
Coaches
Kontsevoy A.
Gorovtsov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Silinskiy D. ⚽, Danilin K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Apanasevich K. ↓, Khramtsevich Y. ↑,
46', Yarmolich A. ↓, Mirskiy N. ↑,
58', Pashevich P. 🟨,
61', Pashevich P. ↓, Martinkevich V. ↑,
62', Angban V. ↓, Telesh M. ↑,
62', Kress E. ↓, Rusakov E. ↑,
63', Karatai A. 🟨,
65', Lisakovich D. ↓, Emeljanov D. ↑,
74', Kaplenko K. ↓, Mardas M. ↑,
77', Leonovich K. ↓, Gavrilovich A. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BATE won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Gomel is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, BATE won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:18. (average 1.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, BATE won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 1.9:1).
Belarus
Usa
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Sokol D. (G) 
Angban V. 
Moussakhanian H. 
Danilin K. 
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