The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Molodechno 30.6%
Draw 22.7%
Niva Dolbizno 46.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.7%
18.4%
15%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.4%
18.6%
14%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Molodechno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-36.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Molodechno's form might have worsened.
Niva Dolbizno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Niva Dolbizno's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molodechno than the current prediction. (+36.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Molodechno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niva Dolbizno than the current prediction. (-32.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Niva Dolbizno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tretyak D. (G) 15. Alshanik A. 17. Belashevich V. 49. Chernykh I. 12. Gruzhevskiy D. 55. Imeryakov E. 20. Klenye P. 18. Petrusevich A. 5. Rusakov V. 37. Shlenkin A. 10. Volkovets D.
35. Kashtelyan D. (G) 10. Dybin V. 23. Fedortsov D. 7. Galuza D. 62. Gordeychuk M. 88. Kozel R. 9. Kuratnik A. 21. Leshkevich N. 18. Shcherbo V. 8. Sibilev D. 41. Tkhagalegov A.
Substitutes
22. Atrashkevich S. 71. Diva O. (G) 29. Dubovik T. 7. Levchenko B. 91. Mamedov T. 9. Shmarov E. 78. Solovey F. 88. Tsybulskiy A. 11. Voronovich A. 77. Yushkevich A.
12. Dovnar N. (G) 3. Druchik M. 98. Karpuk A. 20. Martysevich A. 69. Mashagin E. 4. Milyutin V. 15. Monich I. 29. Pampukha P. 77. Shubovich V. 47. Skomarovskiy V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Alshanik A. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Chernykh I. ⚽,
21', 2 - 1, Fedortsov D. ⚽, Kuratnik A. (A),
28', Sibilev D. 🟨,
37', Galuza D. ↓, Pampukha P. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', 2 - 2, Gordeychuk M. ⚽,
57', 2 - 3, Gordeychuk M. ⚽, Dybin V. (A),
71', 2 - 4, Dybin V. ⚽,
76', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 6th and 2nd in the Promotion - Vysshaya Liga).
Molodechno has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Niva shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The betting markets point to Molodechno as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Molodechno has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:7 (averaging 0.5:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Molodechno against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.
Watch
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Tretyak D. (G) 
Shlenkin A. 
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