Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 25

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Smorgon)


	Smorgon		Niva Dolbizno

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.20	1.49
	4.95	4.3	1.5
	5.59	4.25	1.44	Watch
	5.4	4.7	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.17 ↑ (5.05)	4.36 ↑ (4.2)	1.45 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smorgon
17.4%

Draw
20.6%

Niva Dolbizno
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

21.3%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

21.3%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Niva Dolbizno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niva Dolbizno than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Smorgon - Niva Dolbizno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Azarko M. (G) 3. Autko M. 17. Dukso M. 30. Fartuna B. 2. Intsoen C. 78. Kovalevich V. 99. Malashenko G. 52. Mychelkin E. 7. Nsangou J. 33. Poznyak A. 27. Tishko A.	12. Dovnar N. (G) 23. Fedortsov D. 7. Galuza D. 62. Gordeychuk M. 88. Kozel R. 9. Kuratnik A. 21. Leshkevich N. 29. Pampukha P. 18. Shcherbo V. 8. Sibilev D. 41. Tkhagalegov A.
Substitutes
77. Bogdanovich I. 22. Galko V. 18. Gribovskiy R. 59. Kabachevskiy V. 47. Kukhley R. 16. Perov D. (G) 11. Sivkov I. 23. Stankevich A. 19. Velesyuk A. (G) 25. Yarotskiy Y.	3. Druchik M. 10. Dybin V. 35. Kashtelyan D. (G) 20. Martysevich A. 69. Mashagin E. 4. Milyutin V. 15. Monich I. 77. Shubovich V. 47. Skomarovskiy V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Kovalevich V. 🟨,
10', Leshkevich N. 🟨,
22', Fartuna B. 🟨,
36', Intsoen C. 🟨,
42', Pampukha P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', Fartuna B. ↓, Kukhley R. ↑,
71', Kovalevich V. ↓, Galko V. ↑,
74', Galuza D. ↓, Dybin V. ↑,
74', Gordeychuk M. ↓, Monich I. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Dukso M. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 13th and 1st in the Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga).

In recent outings, Smorgon has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Niva is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Niva could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Niva for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Smorgon has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Niva Dolbizno	27	17	4	6	67:31	36	55
12	Smorgon	27	9	6	12	33:36	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
12.09.26	SKA-1938 - Smorgon	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Smorgon - Slutsk	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Dinamo Minsk 2 - Smorgon	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Smorgon - Ostrovets	0:1 ✺
10.08.26	Smorgon - BATE 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTLLW
- Niva Dolbizno
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
13.09.26	Niva Dolbizno - BumProm Gomel	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Minsk 2 - Niva Dolbizno	3:4 ✺
30.08.26	Niva Dolbizno - Osipovichi	6:0 ✺
15.08.26	Soligorsk - Niva Dolbizno	2:6 ✺
05.08.26	Niva Dolbizno - Slutsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
23.05.26	Niva Dolbizno - Smorgon	3:0

Smorgon - Niva Dolbizno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide