The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Molodechno 9.9%
Draw 19.4%
Torpedo-BelAZ 70.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
9.3%
22.2%
68.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.9%
14.9%
45.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Molodechno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Torpedo-BelAZ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molodechno than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo-BelAZ than the current prediction. (-24.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torpedo-BelAZ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Molodechno - Torpedo BelAZ Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tretyak D. (G) 2. Kutkovich G. 4. Khadzhiev R. (C) 3. Udodov I. 6. Belashevich V. 37. Davyskiba R. 19. Tychko M. 77. Djukic A. 11. Vlasov A. 25. Lysenko N. 91. Assumu J.
25. Yurasov T. (G) 19. Rutskiy I. 88. Glushchenkov K. 27. Nechaev D. 96. Melko V. 17. Sedko P. 8. Selyava A. 13. Klimovich V. 18. Borodin D. 30. Pobudey V. (C) 23. Vasilevich I.
Substitutes
10. Butko A. 43. Diva O. (G) 7. Galimzyanov T. 55. Imeryakov E. 14. Koval I. 20. Sagitov A. 44. Shelest N. 27. Usenya S. 22. Voronovich A. 17. Yushkevich A.
1. Abramovich E. (G) 22. Baranok Z. 7. Camara M. 14. Charyyev T. 35. Malashchitskiy I. (G) 90. Perovic N. 15. Skavysh M. 72. Zheleznyi R.
Coaches
Batyuto P.
Molosh D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Assumu J. ⚽, Djukic A. (A),
22', Djukic A. (Pen),
29', Glushchenkov K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Lysenko N. ↓, Shelest N. ↑,
46', Davyskiba R. ↓, Butko A. ↑,
46', Vasilevich I. ↓, Skavysh M. ↑,
63', Klimovich V. ↓, Charyyev T. ↑,
63', Melko V. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
66', Assumu J. ↓, Sagitov A. ↑,
66', Vlasov A. ↓, Imeryakov E. ↑,
71', Butko A. 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Skavysh M. ⚽, Camara M. (A),
82', Borodin D. ↓, Zheleznyi R. ↑,
83', Djukic A. ↓, Galimzyanov T. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Sedko P. ⚽, Charyyev T. (A),
89', Belashevich V. 🟥,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 7).
Molodechno is Relegated to Pershaya Liga
Molodechno is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Torpedo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Molodechno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Torpedo is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Molodechno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
Including home match between the teams, Molodechno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Watch
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Tretyak D. (G) 
Khadzhiev R. (C) 
Djukic A. 
Assumu J. 
Camara M. 
Charyyev T. 
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