The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vitebsk 32.2%
Draw 32.1%
Torpedo-BelAZ 35.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41%
31.5%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
30.2%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitebsk's form might have worsened.
Torpedo-BelAZ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torpedo-BelAZ's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitebsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo-BelAZ than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torpedo-BelAZ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vitebsk - Torpedo BelAZ Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Goylo N. (G) 17. Novykh E. 15. Kuntsevich M. 6. Rodionov K. 22. Egorov S. 11. Gurenko A. 88. Pesnyak D. 30. Bashilov M. (C) 10. Protasov Y. 77. Minaev R. 26. Tikhonovskiy S.
1. Ignatovich S. (G) 3. Chagovets Y. 13. Zaleskiy A. 96. Melko V. 30. Pobudey V. 68. Zhulpa D. 6. Premudrov K. (C) 7. Bykov A. 20. Martyanov G. 11. Lomovitskiy A. 28. Yusov D.
Substitutes
18. Anikeev V. 8. Anufriev A. 14. Chervyakov Z. 24. Kravchenko I. 7. Lisovskiy R. 67. Minkevich G. 1. Novichkov I. (G) 23. Pulkach V. 66. Radin A. 86. Zgomba M.
89. Frantsuzov A. 27. Gaevoy M. 99. Maslenikov M. (G) 12. Pedro Acacio 9. Petrosyan G. 10. Sharkovskiy T. 25. Yurasov T. (G) 15. Zheleznyi R.
Coaches
Gurenko S.
Baga A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Egorov S. ⚽, Protasov Y. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Novykh E. ⚽, Bashilov M. (A),
28', 3 - 0, Gurenko A. ⚽, Minaev R. (A),
37', Martyanov G. 🟨,
38', 4 - 0, Novykh E. ⚽, Protasov Y. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Zaleskiy A. 🟨,
61', Lomovitskiy A. ↓, Zheleznyi R. ↑,
61', Premudrov K. ↓, Sharkovskiy T. ↑,
61', Yusov D. ↓, Frantsuzov A. ↑,
64', Pesnyak D. ↓, Chervyakov Z. ↑,
64', Gurenko A. ↓, Anufriev A. ↑,
65', Minaev R. ↓, Kravchenko I. ↑,
68', Zgomba M. 🟨,
72', 5 - 0, Anufriev A. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Tikhonovskiy S. ↓, Lisovskiy R. ↑,
78', 6 - 0, Lisovskiy R. ⚽,
81', Protasov Y. ↓, Radin A. ↑,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitebsk won 0.
Vitebsk has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Torpedo has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vitebsk has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:26 (averaging 0.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vitebsk against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 7:8 goals (averaging 0.8:0.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Vitebsk
24
10
7
7
28:21
7
37
9
Zhodino
24
8
6
10
29:31
-2
30
Last Results with these Odds
Vitebsk - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Torpedo-BelAZ - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.45%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Goylo N. (G) 
Novykh E. 
Protasov Y. 
Zgomba M. 
Pedro Acacio 
Petrosyan G. 
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