The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Smorgon 52.7%
Draw 28.1%
Molodechno 19.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.2%
29.6%
46.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.5%
28.8%
47.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Smorgon's performance.
Molodechno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Molodechno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-29.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Smorgon that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molodechno than the current prediction. (+28.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Molodechno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Smorgon - Molodechno Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Smorgon will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
19. Azarko M. (G) 2. Bamba M. 6. Doumbia S. 17. Dukso M. (C) 5. Firsov A. 3. Intsoen C. 7. Levkovets A. 8. Maslovskiy V. 27. Tishko A. 20. Tonkevich V. 78. Yablonskiy M.
1. Tretyak D. (G) 6. Belashevich V. 77. Djukic A. 4. Khadzhiev R. (C) 14. Koval I. 2. Kutkovich G. 23. Radzhabov A. 20. Sagitov A. 29. Samotoy M. 19. Tychko M. 11. Vlasov A.
Substitutes
25. Bamba L. 77. Bogdanovich I. 91. Budko M. 9. Chebotar V. 13. Dayneko A. 4. Diallo M. 55. Dubovik T. 33. Fazylov A. 63. Kukhlejj R. 11. Mychelkin E.
91. Assumu J. 10. Butko A. 37. Davyskiba R. 7. Galimzyanov T. 55. Imeryakov E. 25. Lysenko N. 12. Okhremchuk P. (G) 44. Shelest N. 22. Voronovich A. 17. Yushkevich A.
Coaches
Dorokhovich S.
Batyuto P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Radzhabov A. 🟨,
30', Levkovets A. ↓, Budko M. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Tonkevich V. ⚽, Dukso M. (A),
42', Tonkevich V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Sagitov A. 🟨,
51', Maslovskiy V. 🟨,
65', Djukic A. ↓, Galimzyanov T. ↑,
65', Vlasov A. ↓, Butko A. ↑,
76', Dukso M. ↓, Dayneko A. ↑,
76', Yablonskiy M. ↓, Chebotar V. ↑,
80', Tishko A. 🟨,
81', Tretyak D. 🟨,
81', Khadzhiev R. 🟨,
81', Samotoy M. 🟨,
81', Samotoy M. ↓, Davyskiba R. ↑,
84', Radzhabov A. ↓, Lysenko N. ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).
Recent performances by Smorgon have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Molodechno has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Smorgon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Smorgon is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 2.4:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
Watch
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Azarko M. (G) 
Bamba M. 
Intsoen C. 
Djukic A. 
Khadzhiev R. (C) 
Assumu J. 
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