Match Info

Belarusian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Smorgon)


	Smorgon		Torpedo-BelAZ

	1	X	2
	5.78	3.76	1.5
	5.55	3.76	1.61	Watch
	9.5	4.3	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.94 ↓ (9.5)	3.94 ↓ (4.3)	1.49 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smorgon
13.5%

Draw
23.7%

Torpedo-BelAZ
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.8%

21.7%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.4%

20.8%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Torpedo-BelAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torpedo-BelAZ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo-BelAZ than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torpedo-BelAZ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Smorgon - Torpedo BelAZ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Azarko M. (G) 2. Bamba M. 77. Bogdanovich I. 91. Budko M. 9. Chebotar V. 13. Dayneko A. 4. Diallo M. 6. Doumbia S. 55. Dubovik T. 5. Firsov A. 27. Tishko A.	25. Yurasov T. (G) 44. Butarevich A. 7. Camara M. 88. Glushchenkov K. 13. Klimovich V. 27. Nechaev D. 30. Pobudey V. 19. Rutskiy I. 17. Sedko P. 8. Selyava A. 15. Skavysh M.
Substitutes
25. Bamba L. 17. Dukso M. 3. Intsoen C. 63. Kukhlejj R. 7. Levkovets A. 8. Maslovskiy V. 11. Mychelkin E. 20. Tonkevich V. 78. Yablonskiy M. 21. Yezhov R.	1. Abramovich E. (G) 29. Alfred S. 22. Baranok Z. 18. Borodin D. 35. Malashchitskiy I. (G) 90. Perovic N. 6. Premudrov K. 23. Vasilevich I. 72. Zheleznyi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Bogdanovich I. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Sedko P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Budko M. ↓, Maslovskiy V. ↑,
53', 0 - 2, Butarevich A. ⚽,
61', Dubovik T. ↓, Bamba L. ↑,
61', Doumbia S. ↓, Kukhlejj R. ↑,
61', Chebotar V. ↓, Yablonskiy M. ↑,
64', Skavysh M. ↓, Vasilevich I. ↑,
71', Bamba M. ↓, Mychelkin E. ↑,
83', Camara M. ↓, Zheleznyi R. ↑,
83', Camara M. 🟨,
83', Klimovich V. ↓, Borodin D. ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Borodin D. ⚽,
87', Selyava A. 🟨,
88', Selyava A. ↓, Baranok Z. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 4, Vasilevich I. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 0.

Smorgon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Torpedo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Torpedo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Torpedo is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:27. (average 0.6:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:14. (average 0.4:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
09.11.25	Isloch Minsk - Smorgon	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Smorgon - Vitebsk	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Minsk - Smorgon	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Smorgon - BATE Borisov	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLTWL
- Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
09.11.25	Vitebsk - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Torpedo-BelAZ - Minsk	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Torpedo-BelAZ - Gomel	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	BATE Borisov - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Torpedo-BelAZ - Slavia Mozyr	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
19.09.25	Torpedo-BelAZ - Smorgon	0:1
03.05.25	Smorgon - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:1
14.09.24	Smorgon - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:4
13.08.23	Smorgon - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:1
01.04.23	Torpedo-BelAZ - Smorgon	2:1
02.10.21	Torpedo-BelAZ - Smorgon	7:1
22.05.21	Smorgon - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:3

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