Match Info

Super League - Round 36

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Mombasa Elite		Naivas

	1	X	2
	3.19	3.36	2.05
	3.6	3.35	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (3.67)	3.36 ↓ (3.6)	1.95 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mombasa Elite
26.6%

Draw
27%

Naivas
46.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.8%

25.3%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

24.9%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mombasa Elite has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Naivas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mombasa Elite than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naivas than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Mombasa Elite - Naivas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mombasa Elite (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 5).

Mombasa Elite is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Naivas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mombasa Elite may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Naivas has had a series of home games.

In this match, Naivas is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mombasa Elite won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mombasa Elite
Kenyan Super League
31.05.25	Fortune Sacco - Mombasa Elite	5:1 ✺
24.05.25	Mombasa Elite - Darajani Gogo	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Mombasa Elite - Luanda Villa	3:1 ✺
04.05.25	Vihiga United - Mombasa Elite	3:0 ✺
26.04.25	MCF - Mombasa Elite	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWLT
- Naivas FC
Kenyan Super League
24.05.25	Naivas - SamWest Blackboots	4:1 ✺
10.05.25	Naivas - Darajani Gogo	2:2 ✺
30.04.25	Naivas - Mombasa Stars	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Naivas - Vihiga United	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Kisumu All-Stars - Naivas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
05.10.24	Naivas - Mombasa Elite	4:0
16.12.23	Naivas - Mombasa Elite	1:0
20.03.23	Naivas - Mombasa Elite	3:1

Mombasa Elite - Naivas