Match Info

Super League - Round 34

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday


	Naivas		SamWest Blackboots

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.98	3.59
				Watch
	1.77	4	3.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.6)	3.99 ↑ (3.56)	3.61 ↓ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naivas
52%

Draw
22.8%

SamWest Blackboots
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

25.4%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

24.8%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naivas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

SamWest Blackboots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SamWest Blackboots's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naivas than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SamWest Blackboots than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SamWest Blackboots, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (3 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Naivas is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naivas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naivas FC
Kenyan Super League
10.05.25	Naivas - Darajani Gogo	2:2 ✺
30.04.25	Naivas - Mombasa Stars	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Naivas - Vihiga United	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Kisumu All-Stars - Naivas	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	MOFA - Naivas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWWLL
- SamWest Blackboots
Kenyan Super League
11.05.25	MOFA - SamWest Blackboots	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	SamWest Blackboots - APS Bomet	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	SamWest Blackboots - MCF	2:2 ✺
26.04.25	Kisumu All-Stars - SamWest Blackboots	0:3 ✺
13.04.25	Vihiga United - SamWest Blackboots	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
22.12.24	SamWest Blackboots - Naivas	0:2

Naivas - SamWest Blackboots: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide