Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 11

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Complexo Desportivo Manuel Baião (Serpa)


	Serpa		Elvas

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.05	2.35
	2.67	3.03	2.42
	2.77	3.11	2.44	Watch
	2.74	3.06	2.38
	2.83	3	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.3)	3.05 ↓ (3.14)	2.39 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serpa
32.7%

Draw
29.6%

Elvas
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.7%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serpa's form might have worsened.

Elvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elvas's recent form is better than expected.

Serpa - Elvas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
70', 0 - 2, ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+8', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 12 in the zone Relegation).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Serpa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Serpa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
29.11.25	Juventude de Évora - Serpa	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Serpa - Louletano	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Sintrense - Serpa	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Serpa - Portimonense B	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Atlético da Malveira - Serpa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTTWT
- O Elvas CAD
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
29.11.25	Elvas - Alcochetense	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Oriental - Elvas	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Elvas - Alverca B	2:3 ✺
25.10.25	Lagoa - Elvas	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Juventude de Évora - Elvas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
25.02.24	Elvas - Serpa	1:0
01.11.23	Serpa - Elvas	0:1

Serpa - Elvas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide