Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Moncarapachense		Juventude de Évora

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.82	3.3
	2.14	2.76	3.56
	2.14	3.03	3.46	Watch
	2.1	2.7	3.4
	2.1	2.96	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.5)	2.85 ↓ (2.91)	3.44 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moncarapachense
42.2%

Draw
31.6%

Juventude de Évora
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

31.4%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

30.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moncarapachense's performance.

Juventude de Évora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventude de Évora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude de Évora than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventude de Évora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Moncarapachense - Juventude de Évora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 1, Rayan ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moncarapachense won 2.

Moncarapachense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Juventude de Évora has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Moncarapachense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Moncarapachense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Juv. Evora	4	1	2	1	6:7	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
04.04.26	Louletano - Moncarapachense	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Moncarapachense - Sintrense	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Portimonense B - Moncarapachense	0:3 ✺
08.03.26	Moncarapachense - Atlético da Malveira	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWWW
- Juventude de Évora
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
04.04.26	Juventude de Évora - Comércio e Indústria	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Serpa - Juventude de Évora	0:3 ✺
15.03.26	Juventude de Évora - Alcochetense	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Oriental - Juventude de Évora	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Juventude de Évora - Alverca B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.12.25	Juventude de Évora - Moncarapachense	1:0
07.04.24	Juventude de Évora - Moncarapachense	2:0
17.12.23	Moncarapachense - Juventude de Évora	0:2
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.12.21	Juventude de Évora - Moncarapachense	0:1
14.11.21	Moncarapachense - Juventude de Évora	1:0
07.02.21	Moncarapachense - Juventude de Évora	1:1

Moncarapachense - Juventude de Évora: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide