Match Info
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 20Date: 1 March 2026, SundayLocation: Estádio Municipal da Vidigueira (Vidigueira)
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Vasco da Gama Vidigueira |
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Moncarapachense |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.1 |
3.05 |
2.15 |
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3.37 |
2.97 |
2.18 |
Watch |
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3.3 |
2.8 |
2.15 |
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3.42 |
2.91 |
2.15 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.3 ↑ (3.16) |
2.93 ↓ (3.23) |
2.16 ↑ (2.14) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 27.4% | Draw 30.8% | Moncarapachense 41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama Vidigueira than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+2.8%)Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Moncarapachense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).Both teams are struggling and far from their best. Moncarapachense could have a small edge in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vasco da Gama won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).Including home match between the teams, Vasco da Gama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Campeonato de Portugal - Group D | | | 26.10.25 | Moncarapachense - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira | 2:1 | | 09.03.24 | Moncarapachense - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira | 0:0 | | 12.11.23 | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Moncarapachense | 0:1 |
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