Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 21

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Moncarapachense		Atlético da Malveira

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.82	2.68
	2.82	2.7	2.63
	2.76	2.81	2.67	Watch
	2.75	2.5	2.63
	2.7	3.09	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.53)	2.78 ↓ (3)	2.64 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moncarapachense
33.1%

Draw
32.6%

Atlético da Malveira
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30.3%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

31.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Atlético da Malveira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Moncarapachense - Atlético da Malveira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moncarapachense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
01.03.26	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Lagoa - Moncarapachense	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Moncarapachense - Comércio e Indústria	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Serpa - Moncarapachense	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Moncarapachense - Alcochetense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTTL
- Atlético da Malveira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
01.03.26	Atlético da Malveira - Comércio e Indústria	4:2 ✺
22.02.26	Serpa - Atlético da Malveira	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Atlético da Malveira - Alcochetense	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Oriental - Atlético da Malveira	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Atlético da Malveira - Alverca B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.11.25	Atlético da Malveira - Moncarapachense	1:0

Moncarapachense - Atlético da Malveira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide