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Current Win Probability
Hostert 23.9%
Draw 24.5%
Progrès Niedercorn 51.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.2%
26.1%
45.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
26.9%
47%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hostert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Progrès Niedercorn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Progrès Niedercorn's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hostert than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Hostert - Progrès Niedercorn Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Amadi W. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Kitenge C. ⚽, Amadi W. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
88', Rodriguez A. 🟥,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hostert won 0.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Recently, Hostert has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Progrès Niedercorn carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Hostert has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:47 (averaging 0.8:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hostert against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 5:23 goals (averaging 0.7:3.3 per game).