Match Info

Date: 18 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani (Monopoli)


	Monopoli		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.05
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	3.1	3.1	2.06
	3.4	3.18	2.01
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	3.44	3.45	1.95	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.96)	3.23 ↑ (2.89)	2.04 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monopoli
27.8%

Draw
27.9%

Catanzaro
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

31.1%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

30.5%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Catanzaro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	13.3%	86.7%

Monopoli - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catanzaro: 69.5% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monopoli won 2.

Monopoli is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Catanzaro in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Monopoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Catanzaro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Monopoli won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Monopoli won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
15.10.22	Turris - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
08.10.22	Monopoli - Viterbese	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.22	Taranto - Monopoli	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
01.10.22	Picerno - Monopoli	1:2 ✺
24.09.22	Monopoli - Audace Cerignola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLWWW
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie C Group C
15.10.22	Catanzaro - Viterbese	3:2 ✺
08.10.22	Fidelis Andria - Catanzaro	0:4 ✺
01.10.22	Turris - Catanzaro	0:4 ✺
24.09.22	Catanzaro - ACR Messina	3:0 ✺
18.09.22	Audace Cerignola - Catanzaro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
21.05.22	Catanzaro - Monopoli	1:0
17.05.22	Monopoli - Catanzaro	1:2
Italian Serie C Group C
05.03.22	Monopoli - Catanzaro	2:1
24.10.21	Catanzaro - Monopoli	1:2
02.05.21	Catanzaro - Monopoli	2:2
17.01.21	Monopoli - Catanzaro	1:1
19.01.20	Catanzaro - Monopoli	1:2

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