Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Montañesa		Cerdanyola del Vallès

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	2.72
	3.70	3.64	1.86	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.75
	2.2	3.4	2.84
	2.22	3.5	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.08)	3.4 ↑ (3.15)	2.58 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montañesa
36.7%

Draw
27.4%

Cerdanyola del Vallès
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.7%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

27%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montañesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montañesa's form might have worsened.

Cerdanyola del Vallès has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cerdanyola del Vallès's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerdanyola del Vallès than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerdanyola del Vallès, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Montañesa - Cerdanyola del Vallès Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Bambo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Montañesa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cerdanyola is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Montañesa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Montañesa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Montañesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Montanesa	4	3	0	1	5:1	4	9
13	Cerdanyola	4	1	2	1	4:5	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montañesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
11.01.26	Montañesa - Peralada	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Vic - Montañesa	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Montañesa - LHospitalet	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Manresa - Montañesa	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Montañesa - CE Europa B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLW
- Cerdanyola del Vallès FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
11.01.26	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Can Vidalet	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Peralada - Cerdanyola del Vallès	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Vic	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	LHospitalet - Cerdanyola del Vallès	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Manresa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
07.09.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Montañesa	0:1
04.05.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Montañesa	3:1
22.12.24	Montañesa - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:0

Montañesa - Cerdanyola del Vallès: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide