Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Montañesa		Tona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	2.98	2.52
	2.77	2.94	2.63
	1.51	4.03	5.79	Watch
	2.67	2.89	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.27)	3.21 ↑ (3)	3.37 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montañesa
40.7%

Draw
30.4%

Tona
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

30.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montañesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Tona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tona than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Montañesa - Tona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montañesa won 3.

Montañesa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Tona has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Montañesa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Montañesa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montañesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
09.11.25	Lleida - Montañesa	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Montañesa - Vilanova	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	LEscala - Montañesa	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Montañesa - Vilassar de Mar	2:2 ✺
12.10.25	Mollerussa - Montañesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLTT
- UE Tona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
09.11.25	Tona - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Peralada - Tona	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Tona - Vic	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	LHospitalet - Tona	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Tona - Manresa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
19.01.25	Tona - Montañesa	2:2
08.09.24	Montañesa - Tona	1:4
18.02.24	Tona - Montañesa	1:2
01.10.23	Montañesa - Tona	3:2
29.01.23	Tona - Montañesa	0:2
02.10.22	Montañesa - Tona	1:1

Montañesa - Tona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide