Match Info

efbet League - Round 28

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Arda (Kardzhali) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	14:30	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	13:30	SportKlub 11


	Arda Kardzhali		Montana

	1	X	2
	1.37	4	9.5	Watch
	1.38	4.15	8.2
	1.38	4.26	9.98
	1.44	4.13	7.96	Watch
	1.36	3.8	8.5
	1.4	4	9.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.42)	4.06 ↑ (3.74)	8.94 ↑ (7.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arda Kardzhali
66.8%

Draw
22.9%

Montana
10.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.9%

24.2%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

22.9%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arda Kardzhali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Arda Kardzhali - Montana Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Montana will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gospodinov A. (C) 2. Gustavo Cascardo 93. Eboa F. 24. Paskalev M. 21. Velev V. 18. Huseynov C. 80. Kotev L. 99. Karagaren B. 20. Yusein S. 8. Kabov A. 17. Patrick Luan	1. Rosa M. (G) 13. Soares J. 5. Markov I. 18. Iliev K. 16. Carmona Sierra D. 14. Burov D. (C) 20. Balde U. 24. Tsingaras A. 27. Azevedo T. 10. Todorov A. 7. Dimitrov B.
Substitutes
26. Akandzha B. 4. Idowu D. 10. Kovachev S. 6. Krachunov P. 12. Nedelchev I. (G) 30. Samake W. 35. Velkovski D. 23. Viyachki E. 39. Vutov A.	21. Andreev P. 8. Atanasov P. 22. Beji 25. James S. 17. Kokonov I. 6. Sakor V. 30. Simeonov V. (G) 26. Slavchev R. 23. Tungarov A.
Coaches
Tunchev A.	Atanasov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Karagaren B. ⚽, Gustavo Cascardo (A),
37', 1 - 1, Dimitrov B. ⚽,
40', Kabov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kabov A. ↓, Kovachev S. ↑,
53', Azevedo T. 🟨,
57', Gustavo Cascardo 🟨,
59', Patrick Luan ↓, Samake W. ↑,
59', Yusein S. ↓, Vutov A. ↑,
68', Huseynov C. ↓, Idowu D. ↑,
72', Azevedo T. ↓, Kokonov I. ↑,
82', Dimitrov B. 🟨,
89', Kovachev S. 🟨,
89', Balde U. ↓, Sakor V. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Samake W. ⚽, Kovachev S. (A),
90+2', Karagaren B. ↓, Krachunov P. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 16 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arda won 3.

Arda is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Montana is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Arda is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arda won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Arda won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Arda	12	5	3	4	16:18	-2	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arda Kardzhali
Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.03.26	Septemvri Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	1:4 ✺
16.03.26	Arda Kardzhali - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Botev Vratsa - Arda Kardzhali	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Cherno More Varna - Arda Kardzhali	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Arda Kardzhali - Spartak Varna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLTW
- FC Montana
Bulgarian Parva Liga
22.03.26	Montana - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Cherno More Varna - Montana	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Montana - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:3 ✺
03.03.26	Spartak Varna - Montana	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	Montana - Botev Plovdiv	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.10.25	Montana - Arda Kardzhali	1:1
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Arda Kardzhali - Montana	2:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
28.11.20	Arda Kardzhali - Montana	3:0
08.08.20	Montana - Arda Kardzhali	3:3
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
15.04.19	Arda Kardzhali - Montana	2:0
30.09.18	Montana - Arda Kardzhali	0:0

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