Match Info

Parva liga - Round 2

Date: 28 July 2025, Monday

Location: Ogosta Stadium (Montana)

Referee: Velikov M. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Montana		Lokomotiv Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.75	3.2	1.93
	3.2	3.15	2.15
	3.7	3.4	2.15
	4.72	3.42	1.79	Watch
	3.75	3	2
	3.67	3.18	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (3)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	2.03 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montana
24.9%

Draw
29%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

29.6%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montana's form might have worsened.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Plovdiv's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5%	20%	75%

Montana - Lokomotiv Plovdiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Montana will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Montana (3.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Lokomotiv Plovdiv (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lokomotiv Plovdiv (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Lokomotiv Plovdiv (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Montana (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Lokomotiv Plovdiv (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rosa M. (G) 5. Mihaylov M. 4. Borisov N. (C) 18. Iliev K. 15. Acheampong C. 10. Todorov A. 17. Kokonov I. 3. Iliadis I. 13. Ekele E. 24. Strinski K. 9. Ejike P.	1. Milosavljevic B. (G) 2. Cova A. 5. Pavlov T. 23. Ruskov M. 21. Espinoza E. 22. Ivanov I. 14. Iliev D. (C) 12. Ali E. 99. Lamy J. 9. Perea J. 10. Touma G.
Substitutes
8. Atanasov P. 16. Azevedo T. 7. Dimitrov B. 6. Dinev D. 21. Dobrev V. 25. James S. 30. Simeonov V. (G) 19. Tsekov Dimitrov V. 23. Tungarov A.	33. Atanasov M. 94. Itu C. 13. Lucas Ryan 7. Markov I. 44. Nikolaev N. 16. Petrov P. 39. Umarbaev P. 19. Velev A. 40. Zovko P. (G)
Coaches
Kalpakov T.	Kosic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Ejike P. ⚽,
26', Perea J. ↓, Itu C. ↑,
36', 1 - 1, Itu C. ⚽,
38', Ruskov M. 🟨,
45+1', Ejike P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Ekele E. 🟨,
56', Strinski K. ↓, Dobrev V. ↑,
56', Ekele E. ↓, Tungarov A. ↑,
60', Iliadis I. 🟨,
61', Touma G. ↓, Umarbaev P. ↑,
61', Ruskov M. ↓, Lucas Ryan ↑,
70', Iliadis I. ↓, Azevedo T. ↑,
79', Pavlov T. 🟨,
81', Ejike P. ↓, Tsekov Dimitrov V. ↑,
81', Kokonov I. ↓, Dimitrov B. ↑,
90', Lucas Ryan 🟨,
90+2', Ali E. ↓, Velev A. ↑,
90+2', Lamy J. ↓, Atanasov M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montana won 0.

Montana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montana won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Montana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Montana
Bulgarian Parva Liga
20.07.25	Levski Sofia - Montana	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Arda Kardzhali - Montana	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Levski Sofia - Montana	3:0 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.05.25	Montana - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:2 ✺
19.05.25	Botev Plovdiv II - Montana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.07.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:1 ✺
30.06.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Slavia Sofia	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
30.05.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Marek Dupnitsa	3:0 ✺
25.05.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
15.04.21	Montana - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:1
30.10.20	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Montana	2:2
29.11.16	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Montana	2:0
14.05.16	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Montana	2:0
12.03.16	Montana - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:1
20.11.15	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Montana	1:0
Bulgarian Cup
28.10.15	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Montana	1:2 penalties

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