The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montañeses 38.6%
Draw 26.8%
Lobos ULMX 34.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.8%
26.1%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
25.9%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montañeses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montañeses's form might have worsened.
Lobos ULMX has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañeses than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montañeses, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lobos ULMX than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Montañeses - Lobos ULMX Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
57', 0 - 1, ⚽,
68', 🟥,
74', 0 - 2, ⚽,
80', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7th and 6th).
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Montañeses is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Montañeses has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Montañeses against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Lobos ULMX - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.09%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.