Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 18

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday


	Montecasillas		Muleño

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.2	2.15
	2.91	3.19	2.24
	2.93	3.32	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (3.17)	3.24 ↑ (3.1)	2.2 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montecasillas
31.1%

Draw
27.9%

Muleño
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

29.4%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

28.1%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montecasillas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Muleño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montecasillas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muleño than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Montecasillas has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Muleño is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Muleño will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Montecasillas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montecasillas FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
20.01.24	Montecasillas - Ciudad de Murcia	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Unión Molinense - Montecasillas	4:1 ✺
07.01.24	Montecasillas - Caravaca	0:2 ✺
17.12.23	Lorca Deportiva - Montecasillas	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Montecasillas - UCAM Murcia B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLLT
- Muleño CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.01.24	Pulpileño - Muleño	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	Muleño - Racing Murcia	1:3 ✺
07.01.24	Minera - Muleño	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Muleño - Balsicas Atlético	4:2 ✺
03.12.23	Real Murcia B - Muleño	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
10.09.23	Muleño - Montecasillas	3:1

Montecasillas - Muleño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide