Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 22

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Montecasillas		Pulpileño

	1	X	2
	9.75	4	1.33
	7.94	4.36	1.32
	8.8	4.55	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.83 ↑ (5.7)	4.3 ↑ (3.74)	1.32 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montecasillas
10.3%

Draw
21.1%

Pulpileño
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

24.4%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

24.1%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montecasillas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montecasillas's form might have worsened.

Pulpileño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pulpileño's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montecasillas than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montecasillas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pulpileño than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pulpileño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Pulpileño is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Montecasillas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montecasillas FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
18.02.24	Racing Murcia - Montecasillas	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Montecasillas - Minera	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Balsicas Atlético - Montecasillas	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Montecasillas - Muleño	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Montecasillas - Ciudad de Murcia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLLWL
- CA Pulpileño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
18.02.24	Real Murcia B - Pulpileño	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Pulpileño - Racing Murcia	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Minera - Pulpileño	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Pulpileño - Balsicas Atlético	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Pulpileño - Muleño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
08.10.23	Pulpileño - Montecasillas	4:0

Montecasillas - Pulpileño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide