Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Montegiorgio		Castelfidardo

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.95	2.6
	2.45	2.9	2.7
	2.5	2.9	2.6
	2.59	2.74	2.69
	2.6	3.02	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.46)	2.9 ↑ (2.84)	2.66 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montegiorgio
35.4%

Draw
30.9%

Castelfidardo
33.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.3%

30.6%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

21.9%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montegiorgio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montegiorgio than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montegiorgio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castelfidardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Montegiorgio - Castelfidardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 8).

Recent matches Montegiorgio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castelfidardo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Castelfidardo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Montegiorgio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Montegiorgio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Montegiorgio
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.11.21	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Montegiorgio	2:1 ✺
07.11.21	Montegiorgio - Fano	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	Nereto - Montegiorgio	0:2 ✺
17.10.21	Trastevere - Montegiorgio	3:0 ✺
10.10.21	Montegiorgio - Roma City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLL
- Castelfidardo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
07.11.21	Sambenedettese - Castelfidardo	1:0 ✺
31.10.21	Castelfidardo - Matese	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	Chieti - Castelfidardo	0:2 ✺
17.10.21	Vastese - Castelfidardo	0:1 ✺
10.10.21	Castelfidardo - Castelnuovo Vomano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
21.02.21	Castelfidardo - Montegiorgio	3:0
27.09.20	Montegiorgio - Castelfidardo	2:0
23.12.18	Montegiorgio - Castelfidardo	2:1

Montegiorgio - Castelfidardo

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Montegiorgio - Castelfidardo Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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