Match Info
Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Montegiorgio |
|
Castelfidardo |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.5 |
2.95 |
2.6 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
|
 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
|
 |
2.59 |
2.74 |
2.69 |
|
 |
2.6 |
3.02 |
2.7 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.46) |
2.9 ↑
(2.84) |
2.66 ↑
(2.55) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Montegiorgio
35.4% | Draw
30.9% | Castelfidardo
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montegiorgio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montegiorgio than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montegiorgio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+13.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castelfidardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Montegiorgio - Castelfidardo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 8). Recent matches Montegiorgio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Castelfidardo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Castelfidardo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Montegiorgio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4. Including matches at home between the teams Montegiorgio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group F | | | 21.02.21 | Castelfidardo - Montegiorgio | 3:0 | | 27.09.20 | Montegiorgio - Castelfidardo | 2:0 | | 23.12.18 | Montegiorgio - Castelfidardo | 2:1 |
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