Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 24

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday


	Montegiorgio		Pineto

	1	X	2
	4.5	2.8	1.85
	4.75	2.9	1.8
	4.73	2.82	1.83
	4.78	2.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.69 ↑ (4.46)	2.83 ↑ (2.72)	1.85 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montegiorgio
19.2%

Draw
31.9%

Pineto
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

31.9%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

30.3%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montegiorgio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Pineto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montegiorgio than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Montegiorgio - Pineto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montegiorgio won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Pineto is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Montegiorgio won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Montegiorgio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Montegiorgio
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.02.23	Nuova Florida - Montegiorgio	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Montegiorgio - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Chieti - Montegiorgio	0:1 ✺
25.01.23	Montegiorgio - Cynthialbalonga	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Montegiorgio - Avezzano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWLW
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.02.23	Pineto - Sambenedettese	0:0 ✺
05.02.23	Vigor Senigallia - Pineto	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Pineto - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	2:0 ✺
22.01.23	Matese - Pineto	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Pineto - Fano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
16.10.22	Pineto - Montegiorgio	1:0
06.02.22	Pineto - Montegiorgio	1:1
26.09.21	Montegiorgio - Pineto	0:2
23.05.21	Pineto - Montegiorgio	1:0
07.04.21	Montegiorgio - Pineto	0:1
01.12.19	Pineto - Montegiorgio	1:4
31.03.19	Pineto - Montegiorgio	0:0

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