Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 26Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Diocesano |
|
Montehermoso |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.82 |
3.35 |
3.7 |
|
 |
1.88 |
3.85 |
3.4 |
|
 |
1.86 |
3.84 |
3.46 |
 Watch |
 |
1.83 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
|
 |
1.93 |
3.54 |
3.74 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.67) |
3.6 ↑
(3.5) |
3.6 ↓
(4.84) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Diocesano
49.1% | Draw
25.5% | Montehermoso
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diocesano's form might have worsened.Montehermoso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montehermoso's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diocesano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montehermoso than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montehermoso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Diocesano - Montehermoso Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).Diocesano is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Montehermoso has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). In this match, Diocesano is the team to beat.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).Including home match between the teams, Diocesano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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