The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Trujillo 13.9%
Draw 23.2%
Azuaga 62.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.5%
24.6%
63%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.1%
23.7%
65.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trujillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Azuaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Trujillo - Azuaga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Arias J. (Own goal),
9', 1 - 1, Andrada D. ⚽,
24', 1 - 2, Molina A. (Pen),
43', 2 - 2, Manzano J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
79', 2 - 3, Sanchez J. ⚽,
90', 2 - 4, Chepe ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trujillo won 1.
Trujillo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Azuaga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Azuaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Azuaga is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Trujillo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Trujillo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
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