Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Cancha El Barrial (Santiago)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Monterrey		Atlas

	1	X	2
	1.31	5.15	6.5
	1.36	4.59	8.05	Watch
	1.31	5	7.45	Watch
	1.25	6.25	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.34)	5.25 ↑ (4.5)	8 ↓ (8.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterrey
70.8%

Draw
17.6%

Atlas
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

20.4%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

19.4%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Monterrey - Atlas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Paz A. (G) 6. Arce Z. 13. Bernal K. 7. Burkenroad C. 23. del Campo V. 8. Evangelista Chavez D. L. 21. Fernandez A. 22. Garcia D. (C) 10. Perez N. 15. Simental S. 18. Veloz A.	12. Vazquez C. (G) 6. Acevedo V. 2. Delgado D. (C) 19. Fernandez K. 7. Flores K. 20. Garcia J. 14. Huerta R. F. T. 4. Jasso I. 25. Meza D. 9. Munoz S. 5. Sainz M.
Substitutes
29. Bosch L. 34. Day Silva 17. Garcia L. 9. Gielnik E. 28. Manrique P. (G) 26. Martinez K. 3. Sanchez T. 12. Seoposenwe J. 27. Servin F. 30. Soto A.	24. Cardona A. 11. Ceren B. 1. Contreras K. (G) 16. Cruz D. 8. Huerta A. 17. Lopez A. 22. Nalukenge J. 3. Saravia L. 15. Villalobos N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Burkenroad C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Veloz A. ↓, Bosch L. ↑,
46', Evangelista Chavez D. L. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
52', Garcia J. 🟨,
61', Perez N. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
65', Huerta R. F. T. ↓, Ceren B. ↑,
65', Flores K. ↓, Huerta A. ↑,
68', Bosch L. 🟨,
69', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
76', Arce Z. ↓, Servin F. ↑,
76', Simental S. ↓, Sanchez T. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Ceren B. ⚽,
80', 🟨,
85', Sanchez T. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 1, Burkenroad C. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Atlas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Monterrey is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:17. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:5. (average 2.4:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Monterrey Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
19.10.25	Monterrey - Club León	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup Women
15.10.25	Washington Spirit - Monterrey	4:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX Women
10.10.25	Tijuana - Monterrey	1:4 ✺
06.10.25	Monterrey - Club America	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup Women
02.10.25	Monterrey - Vancouver Rise	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWLW
- Club Atlas Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
15.10.25	Atlas - Club America	2:3 ✺
11.10.25	UNAM - Atlas	3:4 ✺
05.10.25	Atlas - Club León	2:4 ✺
29.09.25	Atlas - Toluca	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Necaxa - Atlas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
13.03.25	Atlas - Monterrey	2:1
23.07.24	Monterrey - Atlas	5:0
23.03.24	Atlas - Monterrey	0:1
05.08.23	Monterrey - Atlas	2:0
05.05.23	Atlas - Monterrey	3:2
12.09.22	Monterrey - Atlas	4:1
28.02.22	Monterrey - Atlas	5:1

Monterrey - Atlas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide