The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlas 23.8%
Draw 24.9%
Toluca 51.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.4%
28.3%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.5%
29.1%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlas's form might have worsened.
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toluca's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toluca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
16.7%
50%
Atlas - Toluca Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Atlas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Toluca will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Vazquez C. (G) 6. Acevedo V. 11. Ceren B. 2. Delgado D. (C) 7. Flores K. 8. Huerta A. 14. Huerta R. F. T. 13. Maldonado M. 9. Munoz S. 5. Sainz M. 3. Saravia L.
12. Martinez V. (G) 5. Erceg A. 16. Fernandez L. 11. Guatemala D. 28. Henry A. (C) 99. Le Sommer E. 13. Lopez V. 7. Peraza C. 15. Ramirez M. 25. Robert F. 17. van de Sanden S.
Substitutes
24. Cardona A. 1. Contreras K. (G) 16. Cruz D. 19. Fernandez K. 20. Garcia J. 4. Jasso I. 17. Lopez A. 25. Meza D. 22. Nalukenge J. 26. Peregrina Figueroa A. M.
8. Cortez V. 10. Cuevas B. 3. Lopez J. 1. Meza Acosta A. L. (G) 26. Munoz I. 21. Valadez N. 19. Vazquez E. 6. Vazquez S. 68. Yareli E.
Coaches
Medina R.
Lair P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Ramirez M. 🟨,
6', Ceren B. (Pen),
30', van de Sanden S. 🟨,
38', Ramirez M. 🟨,
42', Le Sommer E. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Robert F. ⚽,
45+6', Ceren B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Peraza C. ↓, Vazquez S. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
60', Huerta A. ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,
60', Huerta R. F. T. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
64', Garcia J. 🟨,
67', 1 - 2, Acevedo V. ⚽,
72', Vazquez S. 🟨,
84', Robert F. ↓, Cortez V. ↑,
90', Valadez N. 🟨,
90+9', 2 - 2, Fernandez K. ⚽,
90+10', Le Sommer E. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 2.
Atlas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Toluca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Atlas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Toluca might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 2.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).
Mexico
Watch
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Vazquez C. (G) 
Ceren B. 
Flores K. 
Huerta A. 
Erceg A. 
Henry A. (C) 
van de Sanden S. 
Cruz D. 
Nalukenge J. 
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