The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Necaxa 13.1%
Draw 23.5%
Atlas 63.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
10%
23.1%
67%
Our Initial ML Estimation
9.6%
22.1%
70%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Necaxa - Atlas Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1 - Atlas (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Amaro J. (G) 14. Acosta M. 15. Bracamonte F. 16. Calvillo S. 8. De Leon K. (C) 45. Gomez C. 52. Medellin Z. 20. Mendez A. 47. Navarro Flores A. A. 9. Peralta W. 17. Torres A.
12. Vazquez C. (G) 6. Acevedo V. 11. Ceren B. 2. Delgado D. (C) 7. Flores K. 8. Huerta A. 14. Huerta R. F. T. 13. Maldonado M. 9. Munoz S. 5. Sainz M. 3. Saravia L.
Substitutes
10. Avila A. P. F. 21. Barnett J. 13. Barranco Q. 54. Hernandez A. 28. Jimenez A. 18. Lopez K. 19. Ramos M. 58. Roque Elizondo N. J. 5. Vega Garcia B. 2. Velarde Mata A. E. (G)
1. Contreras K. (G) 19. Fernandez K. 20. Garcia J. 4. Jasso I. 17. Lopez A. 25. Meza D. 22. Nalukenge J.
Coaches
Astorga C.
Medina R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Bracamonte F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Flores K. ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,
62', Huerta A. 🟨,
64', Mendez A. ↓, Barnett J. ↑,
70', Huerta R. F. T. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
70', Munoz S. ↓, Nalukenge J. ↑,
78', 🟨,
78', Bracamonte F. 🟥,
90+3', Acosta M. ↓, Ramos M. ↑,
90+3', Acosta M. 🟨,
90+8', Amaro J. 🟨,
90+8', 0 - 1, Ceren B. ⚽,
90+15', Barnett J. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 0.
Necaxa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Atlas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Necaxa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Necaxa has had a series of away games.
In this match, Atlas is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 8:41. (average 0.5:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 1:17. (average 0.1:2.1).
Mexico
South-america
Watch
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Amaro J. (G) 
Peralta W. 
Ceren B. 
Flores K. 
Huerta A. 
Avila A. P. F. 
Nalukenge J. 
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