Match Info

Leagues Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	Monterrey		Chicago Fire

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.60	2.40	Watch
	2.65	3.40	2.25
	2.65	3.55	2.45
	2.79	3.74	2.46
	2.78	3.76	2.34	Watch
	2.70	3.65	2.40
	2.73	3.64	2.43	Watch
	2.70	3.65	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.3)	3.62 ↑ (3.45)	2.39 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterrey
34.7%

Draw
26%

Chicago Fire
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26.1%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

26.6%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monterrey, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Fire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	9.1%	54.5%

Monterrey - Chicago Fire Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Chicago will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andrada E. (G) 2. Chavez R. 4. Guzman V. 13. Salcedo C. 3. Arteaga G. 8. Torres O. 25. Pineda O. 9. Rossi D. 17. Corona J. 7. Ocampos L. 99. Cuypers H.	1. Brady C. (G) 24. Dean J. 16. Waterman J. 3. Elliott J. 15. Gutman A. 6. Saletros A. 35. Oregel S. 42. D'Avilla D. 12. Dithejane P. 9. Lewandowski R. 11. Zinckernagel P.
Substitutes
14. Aguirre E. 5. Ambriz F. 22. Cardenas L. (G) 27. de la Rosa R. 11. Fimbres I. 18. Garza C. 10. Orellano L. 31. Ramos C. (G) 21. Reyes L. 30. Rodriguez J.	19. Bamba J. 2. Barroso L. 44. Cohen J. (G) 25. Gal J. (G) 7. Haile-Selassie M. 17. Lod R. 22. Pineda M. 29. Poreba D. 14. Radojevic V. 5. Rogers S. 37. Turdean R. 47. Williams S.
Coaches
Almeyda M.	Berhalter G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Salcedo C. 🟨,
37', Brady C. 🟨,
42', Ocampos L. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', Zinckernagel P. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Guzman V. ⚽, Arteaga G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', D'Avilla D. ↓, Pineda M. ↑,
57', Oregel S. ↓, Lod R. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Zinckernagel P. ⚽, Gutman A. (A),
63', Saletros A. 🟨,
72', Dithejane P. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
80', Gutman A. 🟨,
83', 2 - 1, Pineda O. ⚽,
84', Dean J. ↓, Bamba J. ↑,
86', Corona J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
87', Rossi D. 🟨,
90+1', Rossi D. ↓, Reyes L. ↑,
90+1', Torres O. ↓, Ambriz F. ↑,
90+3', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
90+5', Cuypers H. ↓, Orellano L. ↑,
90+5', Pineda O. ↓, de la Rosa R. ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Monterrey has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chicago is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX
21.08.26	Club León - Monterrey	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Monterrey - Juárez	6:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
12.08.26	Monterrey - Nashville SC	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Inter Miami - Monterrey	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Monterrey - Orlando City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWWWL
- Chicago Fire
MLS
22.08.26	New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Orlando City - Chicago Fire	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Chicago Fire - Portland Timbers	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
13.08.26	Cruz Azul - Chicago Fire	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Chicago Fire - Necaxa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWWW

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