Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio BBVA (Monterrey)

Referee: Garcia L. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet
Mexico	Canal 5, TUDN, ViX Premium
Usa	SportsEngine Play, TUDN


	Monterrey		Juárez

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6.25	Watch
	1.47	4.50	5.75
	1.56	4.10	4.90	Watch
	1.57	4.65	5.60
	1.58	4.48	5.08	Watch
	1.48	4.75	5.95
	1.50	4.80	6.06	Watch
	1.48	4.60	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.53)	4.58 ↑ (4.33)	5.65 ↑ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterrey
62.7%

Draw
20.6%

Juárez
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

21.5%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

20.9%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Monterrey - Juárez Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cardenas L. (G) 2. Chavez R. 4. Guzman V. 19. Aceves A. 3. Arteaga G. 8. Torres O. 25. Pineda O. 10. Orellano L. 9. Rossi D. 7. Ocampos L. (C) 99. Cuypers H.	1. Jurado S. (C) 20. Aquino J. 3. Murillo J. 23. Ortega H. 4. Mayorga A. 8. Guilherme Castilho 5. Garcia D. 7. Fulgencio R. 21. Ricardinho 11. Rodriguez J. 19. Estupinan O.
Substitutes
5. Ambriz F. 17. Corona J. 27. de la Rosa R. 203. De Nigris A. 11. Fimbres I. 18. Garza C. 31. Ramos C. (G) 21. Reyes L. 30. Rodriguez J.	201. Carmona J. 203. Carmona L. 9. Madson 6. Monchu 33. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 13. Rodrigo Dourado 27. Ruiz G. (G) 2. Sepulveda G. 16. Sigala J. 10. Torres Ramirez I. J. M.
Coaches
Almeyda M.	Valero S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Orellano L. ⚽, Rossi D. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Rossi D. ⚽, Chavez R. (A),
29', 3 - 0, Cuypers H. ⚽, Pineda O. (A),
32', 3 - 1, Estupinan O. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
37', Aceves A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
45+3', 4 - 1, Pineda O. ⚽, Cuypers H. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fulgencio R. ↓, Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↑,
46', Guilherme Castilho ↓, Rodrigo Dourado ↑,
56', Ricardinho ↓, Madson ↑,
62', 5 - 1, Ocampos L. ⚽, Rossi D. (A),
63', Pineda O. ↓, Fimbres I. ↑,
63', Cuypers H. ↓, de la Rosa R. ↑,
63', Rossi D. ↓, De Nigris A. ↑,
70', Estupinan O. ↓, Monchu ↑,
70', Mayorga A. ↓, Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↑,
71', Ocampos L. ↓, Corona J. ↑,
90+2', 6 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Corona J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Monterrey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Juárez has had a series of away games.

In this match, Monterrey is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Monterrey: Salcedo C. (Red Card)

There will not play in Juárez: Romero L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Juárez: Romero B. (Knee Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:19. (average 2.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:8. (average 2.7:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Monterrey	9	4	1	4	16:14	2	13
18	Juarez	11	1	1	9	8:26	-18	4

Last Results with these Odds

Monterrey - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.84%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Monterrey
CONCACAF League Cup
12.08.26	Monterrey - Nashville SC	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Inter Miami - Monterrey	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Monterrey - Orlando City	1:2 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
01.08.26	Atlas - Monterrey	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Necaxa - Monterrey	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWLWL
- FC Juárez
CONCACAF League Cup
11.08.26	Real Salt Lake - Juárez	3:0 ✺
07.08.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Juárez	1:3 ✺
04.08.26	Minnesota United - Juárez	1:2 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
31.07.26	Juárez - UNAM	1:5 ✺
25.07.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
13.03.26	Juárez - Monterrey	2:2
21.10.25	Monterrey - Juárez	4:2
08.02.25	Juárez - Monterrey	2:1
18.09.24	Monterrey - Juárez	3:2
23.02.24	Juárez - Monterrey	0:3
07.10.23	Monterrey - Juárez	3:1
04.03.23	Monterrey - Juárez	3:0

Monterrey - Juárez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide