The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monterrey 52.8%
Draw 24.7%
Juárez 22.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.8%
24.7%
17.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.9%
23.9%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juárez's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Monterrey - Juárez Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Manrique P. (G) 7. Burkenroad C. 14. Calderon A. 34. Day Silva 22. Garcia D. (C) 17. Garcia L. 24. Restrepo M. 3. Sanchez T. 12. Seoposenwe J. 15. Simental S. 30. Soto A.
28. Alvarado E. (G) 20. Abud K. 17. Asantewaa G. 13. Gonzalez E. 3. Granados N. 18. Kaci A. 11. Martin D. 8. Mercado L. (C) 6. Perez A. 14. Rodriguez M. 19. Singano J.
Substitutes
33. Cazares C. 23. del Campo V. 8. Evangelista Chavez D. L. 9. Gielnik E. 26. Martinez K. 2. Monroy D. 19. Paz A. (G) 10. Perez N. 27. Servin F. 18. Veloz A.
29. Arreola A. 49. Del Real C. 7. Duarte N. 16. Espinoza G. 12. Holguin C. (G) 5. Lopez Y. 22. Mora Bianca 23. Solis B. 44. Soto H.
Coaches
Valverde A.
Fernandez Novillo O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Singano J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Seoposenwe J. ↓, Veloz A. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Mercado L. ⚽,
64', Singano J. ↓, Lopez Y. ↑,
64', Kaci A. ↓, Arreola A. ↑,
64', Day Silva ↓, del Campo V. ↑,
64', Simental S. ↓, Monroy D. ↑,
64', Burkenroad C. ↓, Evangelista Chavez D. L. ↑,
69', Veloz A. 🟨,
72', Restrepo M. ↓, Perez N. ↑,
72', Martin D. ↓, Mora Bianca ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Garcia L. ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 3.
Monterrey has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Juárez is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Monterrey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Monterrey is the team to beat.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:11. (average 1.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).