The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cruz Azul 38.1%
Draw 26.5%
Monterrey 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.6%
23.6%
52.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.3%
23.9%
53.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruz Azul's performance.
Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monterrey might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruz Azul that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+18.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monterrey could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cruz Azul - Monterrey Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Godinez A. (G) 7. Angeles L. (C) 23. Gutierrez I. 29. Kanu U. 14. Leon M. 8. Lomeli A. 9. Martinez A. 11. Mendoza D. 2. Miranda V. 3. Robe L. 6. Rodriguez L.
28. Manrique P. (G) 13. Bernal K. 14. Calderon A. 34. Daiane 23. del Campo V. 22. Garcia D. (C) 9. Gielnik E. 10. Perez N. 12. Seoposenwe J. 27. Servin F. 18. Veloz A.
Substitutes
18. Abam M. 13. Calderon D. 28. Garcia A. 15. Grimaldo N. 16. Martinez L. 17. Montano Osuna M. C. 20. Salmoran D. 26. Torres A. 19. Valdez V. 1. Villeda M. (G)
7. Burkenroad C. 33. Cazares C. 17. Garcia L. 6. Martinez L. 2. Monroy D. 24. Restrepo M. 15. Simental S. 30. Soto A. 25. Tajonar P. (G) 11. Vargas V.
Coaches
del Real I.
Miquel A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, del Campo V. ⚽,
23', Calderon A. 🟨,
38', Daiane 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Daiane ↓, Cazares C. ↑,
57', Servin F. ↓, Restrepo M. ↑,
57', Veloz A. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
57', Perez N. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
63', 🟨,
64', Lomeli A. ↓, Abam M. ↑,
65', 🟨,
70', Rodriguez L. ↓, Calderon D. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Kanu U. ⚽,
90+1', Leon M. ↓, Montano Osuna M. C. ↑,
Preview
First leg.
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 1.
Cruz Azul is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Monterrey's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Monterrey could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 10:33. (average 0.8:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.3:2.3).
Mexico
Watch
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Godinez A. (G) 
Kanu U. 
Leon M. 
Martinez A. 
Robe L. 
Daiane 
del Campo V. 
Gielnik E. 
Seoposenwe J. 
Veloz A. 
Abam M. 
Garcia L. 
Restrepo M. 
Miquel A. 
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