The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juárez 42.1%
Draw 27%
Toluca 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
29.2%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
29.4%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juárez's performance.
Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toluca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juárez that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toluca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Juárez - Toluca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Alvarado E. (G) 20. Abud K. 29. Arreola A. 15. Casarez J. A. 4. Castillo M. (C) 7. Duarte N. 3. Granados N. 8. Mercado L. 6. Perez A. 14. Rodriguez M. 19. Singano J.
33. Thompson K. (G) 22. Abam M. 16. Fernandez L. 28. Henry A. (C) 99. Le Sommer E. 13. Lopez V. 2. Martinez K. 7. Peraza C. 15. Ramirez M. 25. Robert F. 6. Vazquez S.
Substitutes
21. Anchondo G. 17. Asantewaa G. 16. Espinoza G. 13. Gonzalez E. 12. Holguin C. (G) 18. Kaci A. 5. Lopez Y. 11. Martin D. 22. Mora Bianca 23. Solis B.
8. Cortez V. 10. Cuevas B. 20. Gutiérrez S. 3. Lopez J. 12. Martinez V. (G) 14. Monroy D. 59. Monroy F. 26. Munoz I. 21. Valadez N.
Coaches
Fernandez Novillo O.
Lair P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Abud K. 🟨,
38', Casarez J. A. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
41', Le Sommer E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Abud K. ↓, Mora Bianca ↑,
58', Peraza C. ↓, Cuevas B. ↑,
66', Duarte N. ↓, Asantewaa G. ↑,
66', Arreola A. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
67', Lopez V. ↓, Gutiérrez S. ↑,
71', Abam M. 🟥,
75', Vazquez S. ↓, Monroy F. ↑,
79', Castillo M. ↓, Kaci A. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 1.
Juárez has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Toluca is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
Mexico
Watch
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Alvarado E. (G) 
Singano J. 
Thompson K. (G) 
Abam M. 
Henry A. (C) 
Asantewaa G. 
Lopez Y. 
Fernandez Novillo O. 
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