Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Cancha El Barrial (Santiago)

Referee: Lopez F. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	ViX Gratis
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Monterrey		Toluca

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.50	3.90
	1.86	3.40	3.50
	1.73	4.13	4.08
	1.74	4.04	4.03	Watch
	1.83	3.70	3.80
	1.81	3.72	4.03
	1.75	3.65	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.87)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)	3.88 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterrey
51.7%

Draw
24.6%

Toluca
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25.5%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

27.2%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Toluca aligns with the current prediction.

Monterrey - Toluca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Manrique P. (G) 5. Godinez A. 23. del Campo V. 3. Daiane 14. Lua A. 24. Restrepo M. 27. Servin F. 9. Bosch L. 22. Garcia D. (C) 17. Garcia L. 25. Chavarin A.	12. Martinez V. (G) 4. Rodriguez Perez Y. 2. Martinez K. 16. Fernandez L. 24. Veje K. 6. Henry A. (C) 5. Franco Y. 25. Robert F. 7. Espinosa D. 14. Blackwood D. 9. Le Sommer E.
Substitutes
33. Cazares C. 60. Diaz D. (G) 21. Fernandez A. 2. Monroy D. 31. Ortiz S. 10. Perez N. 12. Seoposenwe J. 15. Simental S. 11. Vargas V.	10. Cuevas B. 8. Fernandez K. 11. Guatemala D. 17. Jakobsson S. 13. Lopez V. 1. Lozoya C. (G) 26. Munoz I. 15. Ramirez M. 22. Vazquez S.
Coaches
Miquel A.	Toril A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Chavarin A. ⚽,
15', Veje K. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, Garcia D. ⚽,
26', Bosch L. ↓, Seoposenwe J. ↑,
42', 3 - 0, Chavarin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 3 - 1, Henry A. ⚽,
54', 🟨,
55', Godinez A. ↓, Vargas V. ↑,
55', Chavarin A. ↓, Monroy D. ↑,
60', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
69', 4 - 1, Seoposenwe J. ⚽,
90', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 3.

Monterrey is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Toluca is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Monterrey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Monterrey is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:10. (average 1.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:2. (average 2.6:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Monterrey Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
29.08.26	Querétaro - Monterrey	0:4 ✺
21.08.26	Monterrey - Club León	2:3 ✺
17.08.26	Santos Laguna - Monterrey	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	Monterrey - Atlante	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	Tijuana - Monterrey	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWW
- Deportivo Toluca Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
28.08.26	Toluca - Club León	1:0 ✺
24.08.26	Atlante - Toluca	1:2 ✺
17.08.26	Toluca - Atlas	1:1 ✺
10.08.26	Toluca - Juárez	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Atlético San Luis - Toluca	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
09.02.26	Monterrey - Toluca	2:0
12.09.25	Toluca - Monterrey	0:1
30.03.25	Toluca - Monterrey	2:2
11.11.24	Monterrey - Toluca	1:0
08.11.24	Toluca - Monterrey	1:0
26.08.24	Monterrey - Toluca	5:0
18.04.24	Monterrey - Toluca	1:0

Monterrey - Toluca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide