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Current Win Probability
Toluca 49.8%
Draw 25.6%
Juárez 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.3%
22.4%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Toluca - Juárez Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Martinez V. (G) 14. Blackwood D. 10. Cuevas B. 7. Espinosa D. 16. Fernandez L. 5. Franco Y. 6. Henry A. 17. Jakobsson S. 2. Martinez K. 25. Robert F. 4. Rodriguez Perez Y.
28. Alvarado E. (G) 20. Abud K. 21. Cadena M. 16. Espinoza G. 24. Galvez Luna R. 3. Granados N. 18. Kaci A. 8. Mercado L. 22. Mora Bianca 6. Murillo A. 13. Solorzano A.
Substitutes
23. Diaz B. 8. Fernandez K. 56. Gallegos D. 11. Guatemala D. 13. Lopez V. 1. Lozoya C. (G) 21. Macias N. 27. Munoz B. A. H. 26. Munoz I. 22. Vazquez S.
29. Blanco A. 19. Caicedo F. 4. Castillo M. 30. Fuentes D. 12. Holguin C. (G) 5. Lopez Y. 11. Martin D. 7. Palafox N. 17. Peraza C. 23. Solis B.
Coaches
Toril A.
Fernandez Novillo O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Fernandez L. 🟨,
29', Mercado L. 🟨,
31', Murillo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Robert F. 🟨,
62', Espinoza G. ↓, Lopez Y. ↑,
62', Cadena M. ↓, Caicedo F. ↑,
66', Cuevas B. ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,
67', Jakobsson S. ↓, Lopez V. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Fernandez L. ⚽, Robert F. (A),
72', Kaci A. 🟥,
78', 2 - 0, Fernandez K. ⚽,
81', Solorzano A. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
81', Mercado L. ↓, Palafox N. ↑,
87', Robert F. ↓, Vazquez S. ↑,
88', Franco Y. ↓, Guatemala D. ↑,
88', Murillo A. ↓, Peraza C. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 2.
Toluca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Toluca is a strong favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).