Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Montespaccato		Monastir

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.82	2.72
	2.54	2.94	2.78	Watch
	2.5	2.63	2.75
	2.52	2.81	2.78
	2.54	2.8	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.49)	2.8 ↓ (3.43)	2.78 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montespaccato
35.5%

Draw
32.1%

Monastir
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

26.4%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

26.3%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montespaccato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Monastir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montespaccato than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monastir than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monastir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Montespaccato - Monastir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Vitolo F. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Putti L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
78', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: ) and 7).

Recent form of Montespaccato has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Monastir's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montespaccato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Monastir	6	4	1	1	17:9	8	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montespaccato Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
04.01.26	Scafatese - Montespaccato	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Montespaccato	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Montespaccato - Ischia Isolaverde	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Latte Dolce - Montespaccato	3:3 ✺
30.11.25	Montespaccato - Valmontone	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWTL
- ASD Monastir
Italian Serie D - Group G
06.01.26	Monastir - Budoni	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Monastir - Palmese 1914	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Nocerina - Monastir	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Monastir - Albalonga	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Trastevere - Monastir	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
14.09.25	Monastir - Montespaccato	2:0

Montespaccato - Monastir: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide