Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Nocerina		Monastir

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.65	5.15
	1.45	3.86	6.24
	1.96	3.42	3.45	Watch
	1.5	3.6	6
	1.57	3.91	5.73
	1.5	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.96)	3.7 ↑ (3.42)	5.43 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nocerina
58.1%

Draw
24.9%

Monastir
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

26.8%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.7%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nocerina's performance.

Monastir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monastir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nocerina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monastir than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monastir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nocerina - Monastir Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nocerina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Nunes G. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Piro S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
86', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: ) and 6).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Monastir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nocerina is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group G
07.12.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Nocerina	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.12.25	Francavilla - Nocerina	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
30.11.25	Nocerina - Atletico Lodigiani	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Latte Dolce - Nocerina	0:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Nocerina - Castrumfavara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLTWW
- ASD Monastir
Italian Serie D - Group G
06.12.25	Monastir - Albalonga	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Trastevere - Monastir	4:1 ✺
23.11.25	Monastir - Anzio	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Olbia - Monastir	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Monastir - Scafatese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWL

Nocerina - Monastir: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide